afl-tips.com

Adelaide vs Greater Western Sydney Tips

At Adelaide Oval, Round 1 2027 is Sat 20 Mar, 4: 15pm AEDT. Our pick is Adelaide by 18, and we give it a 71% win chance.

Tip from us
Adelaideby 18 points
Win chance
Adelaide 71.0%, GWS 29.0% (71%)
Score prediction
102–83Adelaide first
Models agreeing with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

All models for this match

ADEGWS

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Adelaide71.0%18.2 pts
Elo Predicts!Adelaide61.7%1.0 pts
s10Adelaide67.4%15.2 pts
SquiggleAdelaide58.4%8.2 pts
StattractionAdelaide66.7%15.0 pts
Wheelo RatingsAdelaide68.1%15.4 pts
Squiggle aggregateAdelaide63.7%9.9 pts
Win chance refers to the club each source backs. Tips for public models come from the Squiggle API, while the aggregate is Squiggle's average across all models. Results are graded after the siren.

What makes Adelaide our pick

Our ratings score each club's attack and defence based on points against an average side, then add the home ground and travel for this match.

Adelaide hold an overall rating of +6.8 (6th), while GWS have −0.2 (11th), making Adelaide 18 points better on the day.

From 2015 to 2026 across 2,476 games, this model tipped 68.3% correctly, and the average margin error came to 27.0 points. How it works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Adelaide+6.2+0.5+6.8WLWWL
GWS+3.1−3.3−0.2LWLWL
These are points per game against an average side at the start of 2027. Form covers the five most recent games from 2026, with the latest shown on the right.

Head-to-head record since 2012

Meetings
20no draws
Adelaide wins
13
GWS wins
7
The average margin
44.0points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Finals Week 1Adelaide OvalAdelaide 84, GWS 48Adelaide
2018Round 11Adelaide OvalAdelaide 81, GWS 97GWS
2018Round 21UNSW Canberra OvalGWS 106, Adelaide 92GWS
2019Round 12Adelaide OvalAdelaide 82, GWS 61Adelaide
2020Round 16Adelaide OvalAdelaide 59, GWS 47Adelaide
2021Round 7Adelaide OvalAdelaide 39, GWS 106GWS
2022Round 7Adelaide OvalAdelaide 54, GWS 113GWS
2023Round 1Sydney ShowgroundGWS 106, Adelaide 90GWS
2023Round 18Adelaide OvalAdelaide 57, GWS 71GWS
2024Round 16Adelaide OvalAdelaide 94, GWS 78Adelaide
2025Round 6Adelaide OvalAdelaide 52, GWS 34Adelaide
2026Round 24Adelaide OvalAdelaide 157, GWS 101Adelaide
The most recent meetings appear first. Results come from the Squiggle API.

More about this game

All Round 1 tips Adelaide fixture Greater Western Sydney fixture