AFL Tipping Tips 2027
Round 1 opens on Wednesday 17 March 2027 at 7:30pm AEDT. Here are our tips ready to paste, plus a pick for every streak and gauntlet game.
Round 1, in fixture order
- Sydney v GeelongSydney by 11
- Fremantle v Western BulldogsFremantle
- Hawthorn v BrisbaneHawthorn
- Richmond v CarltonCarlton
- Adelaide v GWSAdelaide
- St Kilda v CollingwoodCollingwood
- North Melbourne v Port AdelaideNorth Melbourne
- Melbourne v EssendonMelbourne
- West Coast v Gold CoastGold Coast
Which strategy wins a comp
Over the 207 home-and-away games of 2026, simple rules came up short of the best public model by this many tips:
| Rule | Correct | Behind the best model |
|---|---|---|
| Always the home side | 121 | 36 |
| Higher on the ladder | 138 | 19 |
| Betting favourite | 151 | 6 |
Streak picks, all 24 rounds
In a streak game one wrong tip resets your count, so each round we name the single club most likely to win.
| Round | Pick | Against | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Melbourne | Essendon | 81% |
| R2 | Gold Coast | Richmond | 82% |
| R3 | Geelong | Richmond | 88% |
| R4 | Geelong | St Kilda (away) | 69% |
| R5 | Geelong | Essendon (away) | 86% |
| R6 | Brisbane | West Coast | 92% |
| R7 | Fremantle | Essendon (away) | 79% |
| R8 | Melbourne | West Coast | 86% |
| R9 | Hawthorn | Port Adelaide | 81% |
| R10 | Geelong | West Coast | 91% |
| R11 | GWS | Essendon | 83% |
| R12 | Fremantle | North Melbourne (away) | 83% |
| R13 | Carlton | Essendon | 81% |
| R14 | Brisbane | Richmond | 92% |
| R15 | Adelaide | North Melbourne | 78% |
| R16 | Geelong | Gold Coast | 78% |
| R17 | Fremantle | Richmond | 92% |
| R18 | Sydney | West Coast | 92% |
| R19 | Fremantle | West Coast (away) | 85% |
| R20 | Brisbane | Essendon | 92% |
| R21 | Adelaide | Richmond | 89% |
| R22 | Hawthorn | Richmond (away) | 83% |
| R23 | Geelong | Essendon | 89% |
| R24 | Collingwood | Richmond (away) | 76% |
A gauntlet plan for 2027
In a gauntlet you tip one club a round and can never use it again. Our plan spends the 18 clubs where each has its best chance, so the strong sides are saved for the rounds that need them.
| Round | Club | Against | Win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Carlton | Richmond | 78% |
| R2 | Gold Coast | Richmond | 82% |
| R3 | Hawthorn | Essendon | 86% |
| R4 | North Melbourne | Essendon | 68% |
| R5 | Fremantle | West Coast | 85% |
| R6 | Collingwood | Essendon | 79% |
| R7 | Port Adelaide | Richmond | 62% |
| R8 | Melbourne | West Coast | 86% |
| R9 | Richmond | Essendon | 54% |
| R10 | Geelong | West Coast | 91% |
| R11 | GWS | Essendon | 83% |
| R12 | St Kilda | Essendon | 75% |
| R13 | Western Bulldogs | West Coast | 63% |
| R14 | Brisbane | Richmond | 92% |
| R15 | Adelaide | North Melbourne | 78% |
| R16 | Essendon | Richmond | 49% |
| R17 | West Coast | Essendon | 65% |
| R18 | Sydney | West Coast | 92% |