AFL Round 1 Tips 2027
Wed 17 Mar brings 9 games. Our tip, our win chance and our margin appear for each, beside the 5 public models, which are already in.
- Opening bounce
- Wed 17 Mar7:30pm AEDT, SCG
- Games
- 9No byes this round
- Pick for the streak
- Melbourne81% to win, our safest tip
- Games with a split
- 4where the models do not agree
Tips for Round 1
our win chanceeach public modelThe Squiggle aggregate.
Games that decide the round
In these 3 games our win chance is nearest a coin toss. Tip them carefully; these are the games that decide the round.
- Hawthorn v Brisbane56% Hawthorn, by 5.
- West Coast v Gold CoastGold Coast, 60%, by 8.
- St Kilda v Collingwood60% Collingwood, by 8.
Streak tip
Melbourne
Against Essendon, our most likely winner of the round sits at 81%. In a streak game one miss resets the count, so use this pick there.
Gauntlet tip
Carlton
Our season plan takes one club a round and never repeats a club. For this round it picks Carlton at 78%. View all 24 rounds
Every game and every model
| Game | Kick-off | Our tip | Win chance | Elo Predicts! | s10 | Squiggle | Stattraction | Wheelo Ratings | Aggregate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney v Geelong | Wed 17 Mar, 7:30pm AEDT | Sydney | 63.3% | GEE 61% | SYD 59% | SYD 53% | SYD 57% | SYD 62% | SYD 53% |
| Fremantle v Western Bulldogs | Thu 18 Mar, 8:10pm AEDT | Fremantle | 75.0% | FRE 52% | FRE 78% | FRE 66% | FRE 79% | FRE 76% | FRE 68% |
| Hawthorn v Brisbane | Fri 19 Mar, 7:50pm AEDT | Hawthorn | 56.0% | BRI 51% | HAW 55% | HAW 68% | HAW 54% | HAW 56% | HAW 57% |
| Richmond v Carlton | Sat 20 Mar, 12:35pm AEDT | Carlton | 78.0% | CAR 74% | CAR 78% | CAR 75% | CAR 82% | CAR 75% | CAR 77% |
| Adelaide v GWS | Sat 20 Mar, 4:15pm AEDT | Adelaide | 71.0% | ADE 62% | ADE 67% | ADE 58% | ADE 67% | ADE 68% | ADE 64% |
| St Kilda v Collingwood | Sat 20 Mar, 7:40pm AEDT | Collingwood | 59.6% | COL 72% | COL 53% | COL 53% | STK 50% | COL 56% | COL 58% |
| North Melbourne v Port Adelaide | Sun 21 Mar, 1:10pm AEDT | North Melbourne | 65.6% | PTA 63% | NTH 58% | NTH 59% | NTH 54% | NTH 61% | NTH 53% |
| Melbourne v Essendon | Sun 21 Mar, 3:15pm AEDT | Melbourne | 81.3% | MEL 63% | MEL 85% | MEL 78% | MEL 83% | MEL 86% | MEL 77% |
| West Coast v Gold Coast | Sun 21 Mar, 6:10pm AEDT | Gold Coast | 59.5% | GCS 81% | GCS 62% | GCS 61% | GCS 65% | GCS 59% | GCS 67% |