afl-tips.com

Adelaide vs Hawthorn Tips

Round 13 2027, Thu 10 Jun, 7:30pm AEST at Adelaide Oval: we tip Adelaide by 6 with a 58% win chance.

Our tip
Adelaideby 6 points
Win chance
58%Adelaide 57.5%, Hawthorn 42.5%
Predicted score
94–88Adelaide first
Models with us
2 of 53 tip Hawthorn

Every model on this game

ADEHAW

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Adelaide57.5%6.2 pts
Elo Predicts!Adelaide55.1%1.0 pts
s10Hawthorn51.1%1.1 pts
SquiggleHawthorn66.5%15.8 pts
StattractionHawthorn53.2%3.0 pts
Wheelo RatingsAdelaide50.9%0.8 pts
Squiggle aggregateHawthorn53.4%4.3 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Adelaide

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Adelaide rate +6.8 overall (6th) and Hawthorn +11.6 (5th), which leaves Adelaide 6 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Adelaide+6.2+0.5+6.8WLWWL
Hawthorn+7.1+4.4+11.6LDWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
22no draws
Adelaide wins
5
Hawthorn wins
17
Average margin
25.5points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2019Round 1Adelaide OvalAdelaide 55, Hawthorn 87Hawthorn
2020Round 15Adelaide OvalHawthorn 48, Adelaide 83Adelaide
2021Round 6York ParkHawthorn 102, Adelaide 99Hawthorn
2021Round 19Marvel StadiumAdelaide 102, Hawthorn 83Adelaide
2022Round 17Marvel StadiumHawthorn 86, Adelaide 54Hawthorn
2023Round 6York ParkHawthorn 76, Adelaide 79Adelaide
2024Round 12MCGHawthorn 107, Adelaide 80Hawthorn
2024Round 20Adelaide OvalAdelaide 58, Hawthorn 124Hawthorn
2025Round 14York ParkHawthorn 47, Adelaide 44Hawthorn
2025Round 21Adelaide OvalAdelaide 101, Hawthorn 87Adelaide
2025Semi-FinalsAdelaide OvalAdelaide 67, Hawthorn 101Hawthorn
2026Round 11York ParkHawthorn 75, Adelaide 66Hawthorn
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 13 tips Adelaide fixture Hawthorn fixture