Adelaide vs North Melbourne Tips
Round 15 2027, Sat 26 Jun, 4:15pm AEST at Adelaide Oval: we tip Adelaide by 25 with a 78% win chance.
- Our tip
- Adelaideby 25 points
- Win chance
- 78%Adelaide 77.6%, North Melbourne 22.4%
- Predicted score
- 104–79Adelaide first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | Adelaide | 77.6% | 25.0 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | Adelaide | 92.9% | 52.0 pts |
| s10 | Adelaide | 76.5% | 24.8 pts |
| Squiggle | Adelaide | 70.2% | 19.4 pts |
| Stattraction | Adelaide | 78.0% | 27.7 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | Adelaide | 74.9% | 21.9 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | Adelaide | 79.0% | 30.2 pts |
Why we tip Adelaide
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
Adelaide rate +6.8 overall (6th) and North Melbourne −7.3 (14th), which leaves Adelaide 25 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide | +6.2 | +0.5 | +6.8 | WLWWL |
| North Melbourne | −1.1 | −6.2 | −7.3 | LLWLL |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 22no draws
- Adelaide wins
- 16
- North Melbourne wins
- 6
- Average margin
- 37.6points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Round 22 | Adelaide Oval | Adelaide 86, North Melbourne 77 | Adelaide |
| 2019 | Round 4 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 71, Adelaide 59 | North Melbourne |
| 2020 | Round 9 | People First Stadium | North Melbourne 119, Adelaide 50 | North Melbourne |
| 2021 | Round 4 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 68, Adelaide 109 | Adelaide |
| 2021 | Round 23 | Adelaide Oval | Adelaide 98, North Melbourne 54 | Adelaide |
| 2022 | Round 15 | Bellerive Oval | North Melbourne 58, Adelaide 115 | Adelaide |
| 2022 | Round 22 | Adelaide Oval | Adelaide 103, North Melbourne 74 | Adelaide |
| 2023 | Round 16 | Adelaide Oval | Adelaide 138, North Melbourne 72 | Adelaide |
| 2024 | Round 7 | Bellerive Oval | North Melbourne 81, Adelaide 138 | Adelaide |
| 2025 | Round 3 | Adelaide Oval | Adelaide 114, North Melbourne 78 | Adelaide |
| 2025 | Round 24 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 100, Adelaide 113 | Adelaide |
| 2026 | Round 10 | Adelaide Oval | Adelaide 133, North Melbourne 65 | Adelaide |