afl-tips.com

Adelaide vs North Melbourne Tips

Round 15 2027, Sat 26 Jun, 4:15pm AEST at Adelaide Oval: we tip Adelaide by 25 with a 78% win chance.

Our tip
Adelaideby 25 points
Win chance
78%Adelaide 77.6%, North Melbourne 22.4%
Predicted score
104–79Adelaide first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

ADENTH

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Adelaide77.6%25.0 pts
Elo Predicts!Adelaide92.9%52.0 pts
s10Adelaide76.5%24.8 pts
SquiggleAdelaide70.2%19.4 pts
StattractionAdelaide78.0%27.7 pts
Wheelo RatingsAdelaide74.9%21.9 pts
Squiggle aggregateAdelaide79.0%30.2 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Adelaide

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Adelaide rate +6.8 overall (6th) and North Melbourne −7.3 (14th), which leaves Adelaide 25 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Adelaide+6.2+0.5+6.8WLWWL
North Melbourne−1.1−6.2−7.3LLWLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
22no draws
Adelaide wins
16
North Melbourne wins
6
Average margin
37.6points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 22Adelaide OvalAdelaide 86, North Melbourne 77Adelaide
2019Round 4Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 71, Adelaide 59North Melbourne
2020Round 9People First StadiumNorth Melbourne 119, Adelaide 50North Melbourne
2021Round 4Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 68, Adelaide 109Adelaide
2021Round 23Adelaide OvalAdelaide 98, North Melbourne 54Adelaide
2022Round 15Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 58, Adelaide 115Adelaide
2022Round 22Adelaide OvalAdelaide 103, North Melbourne 74Adelaide
2023Round 16Adelaide OvalAdelaide 138, North Melbourne 72Adelaide
2024Round 7Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 81, Adelaide 138Adelaide
2025Round 3Adelaide OvalAdelaide 114, North Melbourne 78Adelaide
2025Round 24Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 100, Adelaide 113Adelaide
2026Round 10Adelaide OvalAdelaide 133, North Melbourne 65Adelaide
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.