afl-tips.com

Carlton vs Essendon Tips

Round 13 2027, Sun 13 Jun, 7:20pm AEST at MCG: we tip Carlton by 29 with a 81% win chance.

Our tip
Carltonby 29 points
Win chance
81%Carlton 80.8%, Essendon 19.2%
Predicted score
101–72Carlton first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

CARESS

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Carlton80.8%28.7 pts
Elo Predicts!Carlton69.6%20.0 pts
s10Carlton80.9%30.2 pts
SquiggleCarlton83.9%36.1 pts
StattractionCarlton82.1%33.2 pts
Wheelo RatingsCarlton79.7%27.1 pts
Squiggle aggregateCarlton78.8%29.1 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Carlton

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Carlton rate +5.4 overall (7th) and Essendon −22.3 (18th), which leaves Carlton 29 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Carlton+2.2+3.1+5.4WDWWL
Essendon−10.7−11.7−22.3LLLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
211 drawn
Carlton wins
11
Essendon wins
9
Average margin
24.0points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 3MCGCarlton 57, Essendon 42Carlton
2017Round 20MCGEssendon 84, Carlton 76Essendon
2018Round 8MCGCarlton 91, Essendon 78Carlton
2019Round 11MCGEssendon 74, Carlton 33Essendon
2020Round 4MCGEssendon 51, Carlton 52Carlton
2021Round 7MCGEssendon 107, Carlton 123Carlton
2022Round 13MCGEssendon 54, Carlton 80Carlton
2023Round 13MCGCarlton 52, Essendon 86Essendon
2024Round 13MCGEssendon 70, Carlton 96Carlton
2025Round 13MCGCarlton 78, Essendon 70Carlton
2025Round 24MCGEssendon 56, Carlton 90Carlton
2026Round 13MCGEssendon 67, Carlton 72Carlton
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 13 tips Carlton fixture Essendon fixture