afl-tips.com

Essendon vs Sydney Tips

Round 2 2027, Sun 28 Mar, 3:15pm AEDT at MCG: we tip Sydney by 29 with a 81% win chance.

Our tip
Sydneyby 29 points
Win chance
81%Essendon 19.3%, Sydney 80.7%
Predicted score
78–107Essendon first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

ESSSYD

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Sydney80.7%28.6 pts
Elo Predicts!Sydney63.0%20.0 pts
s10Sydney84.0%34.5 pts
SquiggleSydney84.0%36.3 pts
StattractionSydney84.9%37.6 pts
Wheelo RatingsSydney83.1%31.3 pts
Squiggle aggregateSydney78.8%31.3 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Sydney

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Essendon rate −22.3 overall (18th) and Sydney +14.5 (2nd), which leaves Sydney 29 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Essendon−10.7−11.7−22.3LLLLL
Sydney+13.0+1.5+14.5WWWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
22no draws
Essendon wins
5
Sydney wins
17
Average margin
25.0points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2019Round 16MCGEssendon 76, Sydney 66Essendon
2020Round 2SCGSydney 73, Essendon 79Essendon
2021Round 4SCGSydney 83, Essendon 80Sydney
2021Round 20MCGEssendon 102, Sydney 109Sydney
2022Round 9SCGSydney 105, Essendon 47Sydney
2022Round 16MCGEssendon 95, Sydney 86Essendon
2023Round 20Marvel StadiumEssendon 99, Sydney 101Sydney
2024Round 2SCGSydney 131, Essendon 101Sydney
2024Round 23Marvel StadiumEssendon 59, Sydney 98Sydney
2025Round 9Marvel StadiumEssendon 71, Sydney 63Essendon
2025Round 21SCGSydney 68, Essendon 54Sydney
2026Round 23MCGEssendon 76, Sydney 112Sydney
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 2 tips Essendon fixture Sydney fixture