afl-tips.com

Fremantle vs Geelong Tips

Round 15 2027, Thu 24 Jun, 8:10pm AEST at Optus Stadium: we tip Fremantle by 10 with a 61% win chance.

Our tip
Fremantleby 10 points
Win chance
61%Fremantle 61.3%, Geelong 38.7%
Predicted score
97–87Fremantle first
Models with us
4 of 51 tip Geelong

Every model on this game

FREGEE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Fremantle61.3%9.5 pts
Elo Predicts!Geelong62.3%13.0 pts
s10Fremantle62.4%10.8 pts
SquiggleFremantle60.1%9.4 pts
StattractionFremantle63.6%12.2 pts
Wheelo RatingsFremantle61.3%9.4 pts
Squiggle aggregateFremantle55.7%4.5 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Fremantle

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Fremantle rate +12.8 overall (4th) and Geelong +14.1 (3rd), which leaves Fremantle 10 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Fremantle+5.7+7.1+12.8LLWWL
Geelong+13.4+0.6+14.1WWWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
22no draws
Fremantle wins
11
Geelong wins
11
Average margin
29.3points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 22GMHBA StadiumGeelong 158, Fremantle 25Geelong
2019Round 20Optus StadiumFremantle 95, Geelong 61Fremantle
2020Round 8Optus StadiumFremantle 16, Geelong 48Geelong
2021Round 18Optus StadiumFremantle 31, Geelong 100Geelong
2022Round 7GMHBA StadiumGeelong 66, Fremantle 69Fremantle
2023Round 10Optus StadiumFremantle 106, Geelong 77Fremantle
2023Round 20GMHBA StadiumGeelong 64, Fremantle 71Fremantle
2024Round 22Optus StadiumFremantle 62, Geelong 73Geelong
2025Round 1GMHBA StadiumGeelong 147, Fremantle 69Geelong
2026Round 1GMHBA StadiumGeelong 110, Fremantle 100Geelong
2026Round 15Optus StadiumFremantle 99, Geelong 90Fremantle
2026Semi-FinalsOptus StadiumFremantle 120, Geelong 106Fremantle
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 15 tips Fremantle fixture Geelong fixture