afl-tips.com

Fremantle vs Sydney Tips

We predict a Fremantle win by 9 points in Round 24 2027, with a 61% win chance. The game starts Mon 23 Aug, 2 00pm AEST at Optus Stadium.

Match pick
Fremantleby 9 points
Win chance
Fremantle 60.8%, 61%, Sydney 39.2%
Score forecast
96–87Fremantle first
Models backing our tip
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model for this match

FRESYD

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Fremantle60.8%9.0 pts
Elo Predicts!Fremantle65.8%8.0 pts
s10Fremantle62.6%11.1 pts
SquiggleFremantle61.3%9.8 pts
StattractionFremantle65.6%14.3 pts
Wheelo RatingsFremantle59.6%8.0 pts
Squiggle aggregateFremantle63.1%10.0 pts
Each source's win chance applies to the club that source tips. The Squiggle API supplies public model tips, and the aggregate is Squiggle's average across every model. Results are graded after the siren.

Why our tip favors Fremantle

For each club, our ratings assess attack and defence by points against an average side. This game's home ground and travel are also included.

Sydney sits at +14.5 (2nd), while Fremantle has +12.8 (4th). That puts Fremantle 9 points ahead for the day.

Across 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, the model got 68.3% right. Its average margin error was 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Fremantle+5.7+7.1+12.8LLWWL
Sydney+13.0+1.5+14.5WWWWL
Points per game versus an average side, at the start of 2027. Form here means the five most recent games of 2026, with the newest one on the right.

Head-to-head results since 2012

Meetings
231 drawn
Wins for Fremantle
10
Wins for Sydney
12
Average point margin
26.3points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2020Round 13Optus StadiumFremantle 50, Sydney 19Fremantle
2021Round 10Optus StadiumFremantle 86, Sydney 84Fremantle
2021Round 19People First StadiumSydney 98, Fremantle 58Sydney
2022Round 18Optus StadiumFremantle 65, Sydney 82Sydney
2023Round 9SCGSydney 86, Fremantle 103Fremantle
2023Round 19Optus StadiumFremantle 76, Sydney 105Sydney
2024Round 9Optus StadiumFremantle 39, Sydney 87Sydney
2024Round 16SCGSydney 98, Fremantle 99Fremantle
2025Round 2Optus StadiumFremantle 65, Sydney 68Sydney
2025Round 17SCGSydney 94, Fremantle 83Sydney
2026Round 18Optus StadiumFremantle 111, Sydney 73Fremantle
2026Preliminary FinalsSCGSydney 71, Fremantle 83Fremantle
The most recent meetings appear first. These results come from the Squiggle API.

More game information

All Round 24 tips Fremantle fixture Sydney fixture