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Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs Tips

Round 1 2027, Thu 18 Mar, 8:10pm AEDT at Optus Stadium: we tip Fremantle by 22 with a 75% win chance.

Our tip
Fremantleby 22 points
Win chance
75%Fremantle 75.0%, Western Bulldogs 25.0%
Predicted score
96–74Fremantle first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

FREWBD

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Fremantle75.0%22.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Fremantle51.7%1.0 pts
s10Fremantle77.6%26.1 pts
SquiggleFremantle65.6%14.9 pts
StattractionFremantle78.7%28.6 pts
Wheelo RatingsFremantle76.4%23.5 pts
Squiggle aggregateFremantle68.1%17.0 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Fremantle

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Fremantle rate +12.8 overall (4th) and Western Bulldogs +1.8 (9th), which leaves Fremantle 22 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Fremantle+5.7+7.1+12.8LLWWL
Western Bulldogs+0.1+1.7+1.8LDWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
22no draws
Fremantle wins
15
Western Bulldogs wins
7
Average margin
30.7points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2020Round 18Cazaly's StadiumFremantle 44, Western Bulldogs 74Western Bulldogs
2021Round 12Optus StadiumFremantle 65, Western Bulldogs 93Western Bulldogs
2022Round 21Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 78, Fremantle 95Fremantle
2022Finals Week 1Optus StadiumFremantle 73, Western Bulldogs 60Fremantle
2023Round 6Optus StadiumFremantle 69, Western Bulldogs 118Western Bulldogs
2023Round 16Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 102, Fremantle 73Western Bulldogs
2024Round 7Optus StadiumFremantle 95, Western Bulldogs 71Fremantle
2024Round 14Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 149, Fremantle 82Western Bulldogs
2025Round 4Optus StadiumFremantle 97, Western Bulldogs 81Fremantle
2025Round 24Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 97, Fremantle 112Fremantle
2026Round 8Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 102, Fremantle 114Fremantle
2026Round 21Optus StadiumFremantle 78, Western Bulldogs 41Fremantle
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 1 tips Fremantle fixture Western Bulldogs fixture