Gold Coast vs Richmond Tips
Round 2 2027, Sat 27 Mar, 5:10pm AEDT at People First Stadium: we tip Gold Coast by 30 with a 82% win chance.
- Our tip
- Gold Coastby 30 points
- Win chance
- 82%Gold Coast 81.6%, Richmond 18.4%
- Predicted score
- 101–71Gold Coast first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | Gold Coast | 81.6% | 29.7 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | Gold Coast | 87.8% | 32.0 pts |
| s10 | Gold Coast | 81.7% | 31.1 pts |
| Squiggle | Gold Coast | 79.1% | 29.5 pts |
| Stattraction | Gold Coast | 79.6% | 29.9 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | Gold Coast | 83.8% | 32.3 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | Gold Coast | 82.6% | 30.9 pts |
Why we tip Gold Coast
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
Gold Coast rate −1.8 overall (12th) and Richmond −21.8 (17th), which leaves Gold Coast 30 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast | +0.5 | −2.4 | −1.8 | LLWLW |
| Richmond | −13.1 | −8.7 | −21.8 | LWLLL |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 17no draws
- Gold Coast wins
- 9
- Richmond wins
- 8
- Average margin
- 36.2points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Round 19 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 65, Richmond 98 | Richmond |
| 2018 | Round 21 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 51, Richmond 125 | Richmond |
| 2019 | Round 16 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 58, Richmond 150 | Richmond |
| 2020 | Round 12 | Gabba | Richmond 53, Gold Coast 32 | Richmond |
| 2021 | Round 16 | Marvel Stadium | Gold Coast 77, Richmond 67 | Gold Coast |
| 2022 | Round 17 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 94, Richmond 92 | Gold Coast |
| 2023 | Round 7 | Marvel Stadium | Richmond 48, Gold Coast 72 | Gold Coast |
| 2024 | Opening Round | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 99, Richmond 60 | Gold Coast |
| 2024 | Round 24 | MCG | Richmond 66, Gold Coast 94 | Gold Coast |
| 2025 | Round 6 | Marvel Stadium | Richmond 80, Gold Coast 69 | Richmond |
| 2025 | Round 21 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 107, Richmond 23 | Gold Coast |
| 2026 | Round 2 | MCG | Richmond 60, Gold Coast 128 | Gold Coast |