afl-tips.com

Gold Coast vs St Kilda Tips

Round 19 2027, Mon 19 Jul, 12:00pm AEST at People First Stadium: we tip Gold Coast by 10 with a 62% win chance.

Our tip
Gold Coastby 10 points
Win chance
62%Gold Coast 62.2%, St Kilda 37.8%
Predicted score
94–83Gold Coast first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

GCSSTK

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Gold Coast62.2%10.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Gold Coast71.1%8.0 pts
s10Gold Coast59.6%8.2 pts
SquiggleGold Coast60.1%9.0 pts
StattractionGold Coast52.9%2.6 pts
Wheelo RatingsGold Coast66.4%13.8 pts
Squiggle aggregateGold Coast62.6%8.3 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Gold Coast

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Gold Coast rate −1.8 overall (12th) and St Kilda −2.1 (13th), which leaves Gold Coast 10 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Gold Coast+0.5−2.4−1.8LLWLW
St Kilda−0.5−1.6−2.1WLLWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
21no draws
Gold Coast wins
8
St Kilda wins
13
Average margin
30.2points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 13People First StadiumGold Coast 78, St Kilda 80St Kilda
2019Round 1Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 85, Gold Coast 84St Kilda
2019Round 13Riverway StadiumGold Coast 76, St Kilda 80St Kilda
2020Round 10People First StadiumGold Coast 74, St Kilda 78St Kilda
2021Round 8People First StadiumGold Coast 54, St Kilda 63St Kilda
2022Round 5Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 87, Gold Coast 61St Kilda
2023Round 4Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 113, Gold Coast 60St Kilda
2023Round 18People First StadiumGold Coast 77, St Kilda 51Gold Coast
2024Round 13Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 51, Gold Coast 48St Kilda
2025Round 11Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 61, Gold Coast 80Gold Coast
2026Round 9Marrara OvalGold Coast 89, St Kilda 60Gold Coast
2026Round 24Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 80, Gold Coast 103Gold Coast
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 19 tips Gold Coast fixture St Kilda fixture