Greater Western Sydney vs Port Adelaide Tips
Round 15 2027, Sun 27 Jun, 5:10pm AEST at Manuka Oval: we tip Greater Western Sydney by 18 with a 71% win chance.
- Our tip
- GWSby 18 points
- Win chance
- 71%GWS 70.8%, Port Adelaide 29.2%
- Predicted score
- 98–80GWS first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | GWS | 70.8% | 18.0 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | GWS | 71.5% | 17.0 pts |
| s10 | GWS | 67.2% | 15.0 pts |
| Squiggle | GWS | 70.2% | 19.4 pts |
| Stattraction | GWS | 66.8% | 15.2 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | GWS | 67.4% | 14.8 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | GWS | 69.0% | 16.6 pts |
Why we tip GWS
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
GWS rate −0.2 overall (11th) and Port Adelaide −11.2 (15th), which leaves GWS 18 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWS | +3.1 | −3.3 | −0.2 | LWLWL |
| Port Adelaide | −6.2 | −5.0 | −11.2 | LLLLW |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 18no draws
- GWS wins
- 9
- Port Adelaide wins
- 9
- Average margin
- 33.5points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Round 18 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 60, GWS 79 | GWS |
| 2017 | Round 4 | UNSW Canberra Oval | GWS 112, Port Adelaide 81 | GWS |
| 2018 | Round 18 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 58, GWS 80 | GWS |
| 2019 | Round 19 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 55, GWS 56 | GWS |
| 2020 | Round 6 | People First Stadium | Port Adelaide 63, GWS 46 | Port Adelaide |
| 2021 | Round 20 | Marvel Stadium | GWS 73, Port Adelaide 100 | Port Adelaide |
| 2022 | Round 17 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 84, GWS 29 | Port Adelaide |
| 2023 | Round 22 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 136, GWS 85 | Port Adelaide |
| 2023 | Semi-Finals | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 70, GWS 93 | GWS |
| 2024 | Round 14 | Sydney Showground | GWS 73, Port Adelaide 51 | GWS |
| 2025 | Round 13 | Manuka Oval | GWS 50, Port Adelaide 66 | Port Adelaide |
| 2026 | Round 21 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 63, GWS 75 | GWS |
All Round 15 tips Greater Western Sydney fixture Port Adelaide fixture