afl-tips.com

Greater Western Sydney vs Port Adelaide Tips

Round 15 2027, Sun 27 Jun, 5:10pm AEST at Manuka Oval: we tip Greater Western Sydney by 18 with a 71% win chance.

Our tip
GWSby 18 points
Win chance
71%GWS 70.8%, Port Adelaide 29.2%
Predicted score
98–80GWS first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

GWSPTA

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)GWS70.8%18.0 pts
Elo Predicts!GWS71.5%17.0 pts
s10GWS67.2%15.0 pts
SquiggleGWS70.2%19.4 pts
StattractionGWS66.8%15.2 pts
Wheelo RatingsGWS67.4%14.8 pts
Squiggle aggregateGWS69.0%16.6 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip GWS

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

GWS rate −0.2 overall (11th) and Port Adelaide −11.2 (15th), which leaves GWS 18 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
GWS+3.1−3.3−0.2LWLWL
Port Adelaide−6.2−5.0−11.2LLLLW
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
18no draws
GWS wins
9
Port Adelaide wins
9
Average margin
33.5points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2016Round 18Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 60, GWS 79GWS
2017Round 4UNSW Canberra OvalGWS 112, Port Adelaide 81GWS
2018Round 18Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 58, GWS 80GWS
2019Round 19Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 55, GWS 56GWS
2020Round 6People First StadiumPort Adelaide 63, GWS 46Port Adelaide
2021Round 20Marvel StadiumGWS 73, Port Adelaide 100Port Adelaide
2022Round 17Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 84, GWS 29Port Adelaide
2023Round 22Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 136, GWS 85Port Adelaide
2023Semi-FinalsAdelaide OvalPort Adelaide 70, GWS 93GWS
2024Round 14Sydney ShowgroundGWS 73, Port Adelaide 51GWS
2025Round 13Manuka OvalGWS 50, Port Adelaide 66Port Adelaide
2026Round 21Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 63, GWS 75GWS
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.