afl-tips.com

North Melbourne vs Collingwood Tips

Round 9 2027, Sun 16 May, 6:10pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip Collingwood by 5 with a 56% win chance.

Our tip
Collingwoodby 5 points
Win chance
56%North Melbourne 43.8%, Collingwood 56.2%
Predicted score
89–94North Melbourne first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

NTHCOL

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Collingwood56.2%5.1 pts
Elo Predicts!Collingwood88.2%39.0 pts
s10Collingwood61.6%10.1 pts
SquiggleCollingwood63.0%12.5 pts
StattractionCollingwood63.9%12.5 pts
Wheelo RatingsCollingwood59.2%7.6 pts
Squiggle aggregateCollingwood68.6%17.9 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Collingwood

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

North Melbourne rate −7.3 overall (14th) and Collingwood +0.9 (10th), which leaves Collingwood 5 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
North Melbourne−1.1−6.2−7.3LLWLL
Collingwood+3.0−2.1+0.9LWDLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
16no draws
North Melbourne wins
4
Collingwood wins
12
Average margin
28.3points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2015Round 9MCGCollingwood 112, North Melbourne 95Collingwood
2016Round 18Marvel StadiumCollingwood 84, North Melbourne 124North Melbourne
2017Round 20Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 57, Collingwood 111Collingwood
2018Round 18MCGCollingwood 130, North Melbourne 64Collingwood
2019Round 15Marvel StadiumCollingwood 37, North Melbourne 81North Melbourne
2020Round 13GabbaCollingwood 65, North Melbourne 35Collingwood
2021Round 8Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 76, Collingwood 94Collingwood
2022Round 17MCGCollingwood 88, North Melbourne 81Collingwood
2023Round 11Marvel StadiumCollingwood 105, North Melbourne 70Collingwood
2024Round 14Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 118, Collingwood 119Collingwood
2025Round 11Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 63, Collingwood 108Collingwood
2026Round 18Marvel StadiumCollingwood 89, North Melbourne 85Collingwood
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 9 tips North Melbourne fixture Collingwood fixture