afl-tips.com

North Melbourne vs Fremantle Tips

Round 12 2027, Sat 5 Jun, 7:35pm AEST at Optus Stadium: we tip Fremantle by 31 with a 83% win chance.

Our tip
Fremantleby 31 points
Win chance
83%North Melbourne 17.5%, Fremantle 82.5%
Predicted score
73–104North Melbourne first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

NTHFRE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Fremantle82.5%30.8 pts
Elo Predicts!Fremantle87.9%41.0 pts
s10Fremantle85.6%37.9 pts
SquiggleFremantle77.5%27.5 pts
StattractionFremantle88.8%45.5 pts
Wheelo RatingsFremantle82.4%30.4 pts
Squiggle aggregateFremantle84.2%36.1 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Fremantle

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

North Melbourne rate −7.3 overall (14th) and Fremantle +12.8 (4th), which leaves Fremantle 31 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
North Melbourne−1.1−6.2−7.3LLWLL
Fremantle+5.7+7.1+12.8LLWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
17no draws
North Melbourne wins
5
Fremantle wins
12
Average margin
40.5points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2016Round 4Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 132, Fremantle 101North Melbourne
2017Round 5SubiacoFremantle 67, North Melbourne 62Fremantle
2017Round 16Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 82, Fremantle 86Fremantle
2018Round 10Optus StadiumFremantle 58, North Melbourne 86North Melbourne
2019Round 1Optus StadiumFremantle 141, North Melbourne 59Fremantle
2020Round 17People First StadiumNorth Melbourne 35, Fremantle 99Fremantle
2021Round 6Optus StadiumFremantle 99, North Melbourne 48Fremantle
2022Round 8Optus StadiumFremantle 102, North Melbourne 24Fremantle
2023Round 2Optus StadiumFremantle 72, North Melbourne 73North Melbourne
2024Round 2Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 76, Fremantle 102Fremantle
2025Round 14Optus StadiumNorth Melbourne 67, Fremantle 73Fremantle
2026Round 13Hands OvalNorth Melbourne 31, Fremantle 155Fremantle
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 12 tips North Melbourne fixture Fremantle fixture