afl-tips.com

North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide Tips

Round 1 2027, Sun 21 Mar, 1:10pm AEDT at Marvel Stadium: we tip North Melbourne by 13 with a 66% win chance.

Our tip
North Melbourneby 13 points
Win chance
66%North Melbourne 65.6%, Port Adelaide 34.4%
Predicted score
95–82North Melbourne first
Models with us
4 of 51 tip Port Adelaide

Every model on this game

NTHPTA

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)North Melbourne65.6%13.2 pts
Elo Predicts!Port Adelaide62.9%19.0 pts
s10North Melbourne57.9%6.5 pts
SquiggleNorth Melbourne58.9%8.7 pts
StattractionNorth Melbourne54.4%3.7 pts
Wheelo RatingsNorth Melbourne61.3%9.4 pts
Squiggle aggregateNorth Melbourne52.9%0.7 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip North Melbourne

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

North Melbourne rate −7.3 overall (14th) and Port Adelaide −11.2 (15th), which leaves North Melbourne 13 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
North Melbourne−1.1−6.2−7.3LLWLL
Port Adelaide−6.2−5.0−11.2LLLLW
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
17no draws
North Melbourne wins
4
Port Adelaide wins
13
Average margin
36.6points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 17Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 127, North Melbourne 57Port Adelaide
2018Round 6Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 69, Port Adelaide 102Port Adelaide
2019Round 6Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 88, North Melbourne 72Port Adelaide
2019Round 22Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 144, Port Adelaide 58North Melbourne
2020Round 16People First StadiumNorth Melbourne 42, Port Adelaide 78Port Adelaide
2021Round 1Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 65, Port Adelaide 117Port Adelaide
2022Round 9Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 46, Port Adelaide 115Port Adelaide
2023Round 9Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 65, Port Adelaide 135Port Adelaide
2024Round 11Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 48, Port Adelaide 107Port Adelaide
2025Round 7Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 97, North Melbourne 88Port Adelaide
2026Round 1Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 113, Port Adelaide 67North Melbourne
2026Round 17Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 73, North Melbourne 52Port Adelaide
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 1 tips North Melbourne fixture Port Adelaide fixture