North Melbourne vs St Kilda Tips
Round 7 2027, Sun 2 May, 6:10pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip St Kilda by 6 with a 58% win chance.
- Our tip
- St Kildaby 6 points
- Win chance
- 58%North Melbourne 42.3%, St Kilda 57.7%
- Predicted score
- 86–93North Melbourne first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | St Kilda | 57.7% | 6.4 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | St Kilda | 68.8% | 20.0 pts |
| s10 | St Kilda | 60.0% | 8.8 pts |
| Squiggle | St Kilda | 58.3% | 8.2 pts |
| Stattraction | St Kilda | 64.2% | 12.9 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | St Kilda | 55.8% | 4.8 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | St Kilda | 61.8% | 11.5 pts |
Why we tip St Kilda
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
North Melbourne rate −7.3 overall (14th) and St Kilda −2.1 (13th), which leaves St Kilda 6 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Melbourne | −1.1 | −6.2 | −7.3 | LLWLL |
| St Kilda | −0.5 | −1.6 | −2.1 | WLLWL |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 19no draws
- North Melbourne wins
- 10
- St Kilda wins
- 9
- Average margin
- 31.5points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Round 22 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 127, North Melbourne 78 | St Kilda |
| 2018 | Round 2 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 95, St Kilda 43 | North Melbourne |
| 2018 | Round 23 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 94, North Melbourne 117 | North Melbourne |
| 2019 | Round 16 | Bellerive Oval | North Melbourne 112, St Kilda 73 | North Melbourne |
| 2020 | Round 1 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 56, St Kilda 54 | North Melbourne |
| 2021 | Round 11 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 88, North Melbourne 68 | St Kilda |
| 2022 | Round 11 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 103, North Melbourne 50 | St Kilda |
| 2023 | Round 8 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 34, St Kilda 64 | St Kilda |
| 2023 | Round 19 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 69, North Melbourne 61 | St Kilda |
| 2024 | Round 8 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 103, North Melbourne 65 | St Kilda |
| 2025 | Round 21 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 78, North Melbourne 69 | St Kilda |
| 2026 | Round 20 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 62, St Kilda 93 | St Kilda |