afl-tips.com

Richmond vs Greater Western Sydney Tips

Round 13 2027, Sat 12 Jun, 4:15pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip Greater Western Sydney by 16 with a 69% win chance.

Our tip
GWSby 16 points
Win chance
69%Richmond 31.0%, GWS 69.0%
Predicted score
79–96Richmond first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

RICGWS

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)GWS69.0%16.3 pts
Elo Predicts!GWS86.4%52.0 pts
s10GWS70.3%18.1 pts
SquiggleGWS72.1%21.3 pts
StattractionGWS70.1%18.6 pts
Wheelo RatingsGWS70.4%17.6 pts
Squiggle aggregateGWS74.8%27.4 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip GWS

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Richmond rate −21.8 overall (17th) and GWS −0.2 (11th), which leaves GWS 16 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Richmond−13.1−8.7−21.8LWLLL
GWS+3.1−3.3−0.2LWLWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
21no draws
Richmond wins
12
GWS wins
9
Average margin
36.9points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 17Sydney ShowgroundGWS 79, Richmond 77GWS
2019Round 3Sydney ShowgroundGWS 125, Richmond 76GWS
2019Round 17MCGRichmond 94, GWS 67Richmond
2019Grand FinalMCGRichmond 114, GWS 25Richmond
2020Round 8Sydney ShowgroundGWS 62, Richmond 50GWS
2021Round 9Marvel StadiumRichmond 87, GWS 83Richmond
2021Round 22Marvel StadiumGWS 106, Richmond 67GWS
2022Round 2MCGRichmond 109, GWS 73Richmond
2023Round 12Sydney ShowgroundGWS 104, Richmond 110Richmond
2024Round 18MCGRichmond 84, GWS 108GWS
2025Round 12Sydney ShowgroundGWS 80, Richmond 77GWS
2026Round 5Barossa ParkGWS 131, Richmond 75GWS
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.