afl-tips.com

Richmond vs Port Adelaide Tips

Round 7 2027, Sun 2 May, 3:15pm AEST at Bellerive Oval: we tip Port Adelaide by 10 with a 62% win chance.

Our tip
Port Adelaideby 10 points
Win chance
62%Richmond 38.0%, Port Adelaide 62.0%
Predicted score
79–89Richmond first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

RICPTA

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Port Adelaide62.0%10.1 pts
Elo Predicts!Port Adelaide74.7%30.0 pts
s10Port Adelaide65.8%13.9 pts
SquigglePort Adelaide63.5%12.9 pts
StattractionPort Adelaide67.9%16.4 pts
Wheelo RatingsPort Adelaide63.6%11.4 pts
Squiggle aggregatePort Adelaide67.4%17.7 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Port Adelaide

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Richmond rate −21.8 overall (17th) and Port Adelaide −11.2 (15th), which leaves Port Adelaide 10 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Richmond−13.1−8.7−21.8LWLLL
Port Adelaide−6.2−5.0−11.2LLLLW
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
231 drawn
Richmond wins
10
Port Adelaide wins
12
Average margin
27.7points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2019Round 18MCGRichmond 101, Port Adelaide 63Richmond
2020Round 11Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 93, Richmond 72Port Adelaide
2020Preliminary FinalsAdelaide OvalPort Adelaide 40, Richmond 46Richmond
2021Round 4Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 79, Richmond 77Port Adelaide
2022Round 13MCGRichmond 77, Port Adelaide 65Richmond
2022Round 21Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 71, Richmond 109Richmond
2023Round 11MCGRichmond 67, Port Adelaide 77Port Adelaide
2023Round 24Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 94, Richmond 63Port Adelaide
2024Round 2MCGRichmond 92, Port Adelaide 122Port Adelaide
2024Round 19Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 116, Richmond 75Port Adelaide
2025Round 2Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 140, Richmond 68Port Adelaide
2026Round 4MCGRichmond 48, Port Adelaide 90Port Adelaide
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 7 tips Richmond fixture Port Adelaide fixture