afl-tips.com

Richmond vs Sydney Tips

Round 19 2027, Mon 19 Jul, 12:00pm AEST at MCG: we tip Sydney by 25 with a 78% win chance.

Our tip
Sydneyby 25 points
Win chance
78%Richmond 22.1%, Sydney 77.9%
Predicted score
77–103Richmond first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

RICSYD

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Sydney77.9%25.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Sydney79.2%41.0 pts
s10Sydney83.4%33.6 pts
SquiggleSydney86.7%40.6 pts
StattractionSydney84.6%37.1 pts
Wheelo RatingsSydney82.2%30.1 pts
Squiggle aggregateSydney83.1%37.2 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Sydney

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Richmond rate −21.8 overall (17th) and Sydney +14.5 (2nd), which leaves Sydney 25 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Richmond−13.1−8.7−21.8LWLLL
Sydney+13.0+1.5+14.5WWWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
18no draws
Richmond wins
9
Sydney wins
9
Average margin
31.0points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2016Round 23SCGSydney 164, Richmond 51Sydney
2017Round 13MCGRichmond 71, Sydney 80Sydney
2018Round 15Marvel StadiumRichmond 93, Sydney 67Richmond
2019Round 5Marvel StadiumRichmond 89, Sydney 67Richmond
2020Round 6GabbaRichmond 34, Sydney 26Richmond
2021Round 3MCGRichmond 72, Sydney 117Sydney
2022Round 11SCGSydney 106, Richmond 100Sydney
2023Round 5Adelaide OvalRichmond 78, Sydney 122Sydney
2023Round 17MCGRichmond 88, Sydney 75Richmond
2024Round 3MCGRichmond 82, Sydney 77Richmond
2025Round 13MCGRichmond 36, Sydney 80Sydney
2026Round 12SCGSydney 170, Richmond 56Sydney
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 19 tips Richmond fixture Sydney fixture