afl-tips.com

Sydney vs St Kilda Tips

Round 13 2027, Sun 13 Jun, 3:15pm AEST at SCG: we tip Sydney by 27 with a 80% win chance.

Our tip
Sydneyby 27 points
Win chance
80%Sydney 79.7%, St Kilda 20.3%
Predicted score
106–79Sydney first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

SYDSTK

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Sydney79.7%27.4 pts
Elo Predicts!Sydney65.1%1.0 pts
s10Sydney76.0%24.1 pts
SquiggleSydney74.1%23.5 pts
StattractionSydney74.3%23.1 pts
Wheelo RatingsSydney77.8%25.0 pts
Squiggle aggregateSydney72.8%18.2 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Sydney

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Sydney rate +14.5 overall (2nd) and St Kilda −2.1 (13th), which leaves Sydney 27 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Sydney+13.0+1.5+14.5WWWWL
St Kilda−0.5−1.6−2.1WLLWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
21no draws
Sydney wins
16
St Kilda wins
5
Average margin
37.0points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 12Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 55, Sydney 126Sydney
2019Round 23SCGSydney 109, St Kilda 64Sydney
2020Round 9GabbaSt Kilda 101, Sydney 48St Kilda
2021Round 12SCGSydney 92, St Kilda 83Sydney
2021Round 21Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 93, Sydney 64St Kilda
2022Round 15SCGSydney 83, St Kilda 32Sydney
2022Round 23Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 74, Sydney 88Sydney
2023Round 13SCGSydney 66, St Kilda 80St Kilda
2024Round 17Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 84, Sydney 82St Kilda
2025Round 18Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 87, Sydney 92Sydney
2026Round 13SCGSydney 104, St Kilda 102Sydney
2026Round 21Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 88, Sydney 107Sydney
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 13 tips Sydney fixture St Kilda fixture