West Coast vs Carlton Tips
Round 12 2027, Sun 6 Jun, 8:10pm AEST at Optus Stadium: we tip Carlton by 15 with a 68% win chance.
- Our tip
- Carltonby 15 points
- Win chance
- 68%West Coast 32.0%, Carlton 68.0%
- Predicted score
- 78–93West Coast first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | Carlton | 68.0% | 15.4 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | Carlton | 73.6% | 29.0 pts |
| s10 | Carlton | 69.9% | 18.0 pts |
| Squiggle | Carlton | 68.2% | 17.4 pts |
| Stattraction | Carlton | 74.1% | 22.9 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | Carlton | 65.6% | 13.1 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | Carlton | 70.4% | 20.6 pts |
Why we tip Carlton
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
West Coast rate −20.8 overall (16th) and Carlton +5.4 (7th), which leaves Carlton 15 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Coast | −10.8 | −10.0 | −20.8 | LLLLL |
| Carlton | +2.2 | +3.1 | +5.4 | WDWWL |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 17no draws
- West Coast wins
- 8
- Carlton wins
- 9
- Average margin
- 39.6points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Round 21 | Subiaco | West Coast 100, Carlton 83 | West Coast |
| 2018 | Round 5 | MCG | Carlton 69, West Coast 79 | West Coast |
| 2019 | Round 20 | Marvel Stadium | Carlton 75, West Coast 99 | West Coast |
| 2020 | Round 11 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 72, Carlton 50 | West Coast |
| 2021 | Round 12 | SCG | Carlton 73, West Coast 95 | West Coast |
| 2022 | Round 17 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 53, Carlton 116 | Carlton |
| 2023 | Round 7 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 44, Carlton 152 | Carlton |
| 2023 | Round 19 | Marvel Stadium | Carlton 140, West Coast 69 | Carlton |
| 2024 | Round 23 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 34, Carlton 99 | Carlton |
| 2025 | Round 5 | Adelaide Oval | Carlton 121, West Coast 50 | Carlton |
| 2025 | Round 14 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 52, Carlton 86 | Carlton |
| 2026 | Round 16 | Marvel Stadium | Carlton 117, West Coast 64 | Carlton |