West Coast vs Collingwood Tips
Round 7 2027, Sat 1 May, 7:35pm AEST at Optus Stadium: we tip Collingwood by 10 with a 62% win chance.
- Our tip
- Collingwoodby 10 points
- Win chance
- 62%West Coast 37.6%, Collingwood 62.4%
- Predicted score
- 83–94West Coast first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | Collingwood | 62.4% | 10.4 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | Collingwood | 87.2% | 52.0 pts |
| s10 | Collingwood | 66.9% | 14.8 pts |
| Squiggle | Collingwood | 67.4% | 16.6 pts |
| Stattraction | Collingwood | 69.7% | 17.9 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | Collingwood | 64.1% | 11.8 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | Collingwood | 72.1% | 24.6 pts |
Why we tip Collingwood
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
West Coast rate −20.8 overall (16th) and Collingwood +0.9 (10th), which leaves Collingwood 10 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Coast | −10.8 | −10.0 | −20.8 | LLLLL |
| Collingwood | +3.0 | −2.1 | +0.9 | LWDLL |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 25no draws
- West Coast wins
- 11
- Collingwood wins
- 14
- Average margin
- 29.3points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Round 3 | MCG | Collingwood 76, West Coast 98 | West Coast |
| 2019 | Round 17 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 77, Collingwood 78 | Collingwood |
| 2020 | Round 8 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 111, Collingwood 45 | West Coast |
| 2020 | Finals Week 1 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 75, Collingwood 76 | Collingwood |
| 2021 | Round 5 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 103, Collingwood 76 | West Coast |
| 2021 | Round 20 | MCG | Collingwood 90, West Coast 45 | Collingwood |
| 2022 | Round 4 | Marvel Stadium | Collingwood 74, West Coast 87 | West Coast |
| 2023 | Round 12 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 57, Collingwood 120 | Collingwood |
| 2024 | Round 9 | Marvel Stadium | Collingwood 103, West Coast 37 | Collingwood |
| 2025 | Round 16 | Marvel Stadium | Collingwood 88, West Coast 59 | Collingwood |
| 2026 | Round 11 | MCG | Collingwood 92, West Coast 82 | Collingwood |
| 2026 | Round 22 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 98, Collingwood 117 | Collingwood |