West Coast vs Gold Coast Tips
Round 1 2027, Sun 21 Mar, 6:10pm AEDT at Optus Stadium: we tip Gold Coast by 8 with a 60% win chance.
- Our tip
- Gold Coastby 8 points
- Win chance
- 60%West Coast 40.5%, Gold Coast 59.5%
- Predicted score
- 84–92West Coast first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | Gold Coast | 59.5% | 7.9 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | Gold Coast | 80.7% | 41.0 pts |
| s10 | Gold Coast | 62.4% | 10.8 pts |
| Squiggle | Gold Coast | 61.2% | 10.8 pts |
| Stattraction | Gold Coast | 65.3% | 13.7 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | Gold Coast | 59.4% | 7.8 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | Gold Coast | 66.7% | 18.3 pts |
Why we tip Gold Coast
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
West Coast rate −20.8 overall (16th) and Gold Coast −1.8 (12th), which leaves Gold Coast 8 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Coast | −10.8 | −10.0 | −20.8 | LLLLL |
| Gold Coast | +0.5 | −2.4 | −1.8 | LLWLW |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 191 drawn
- West Coast wins
- 10
- Gold Coast wins
- 8
- Average margin
- 43.9points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Round 11 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 80, West Coast 77 | Gold Coast |
| 2018 | Round 4 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 139, Gold Coast 59 | West Coast |
| 2019 | Round 7 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 80, Gold Coast 57 | West Coast |
| 2020 | Round 2 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 90, West Coast 46 | Gold Coast |
| 2021 | Round 1 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 83, Gold Coast 58 | West Coast |
| 2022 | Round 1 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 80, Gold Coast 107 | Gold Coast |
| 2022 | Round 20 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 107, West Coast 104 | Gold Coast |
| 2023 | Round 9 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 43, Gold Coast 113 | Gold Coast |
| 2024 | Round 7 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 112, West Coast 75 | Gold Coast |
| 2024 | Round 21 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 97, Gold Coast 87 | West Coast |
| 2025 | Round 1 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 49, Gold Coast 136 | Gold Coast |
| 2026 | Round 1 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 131, West Coast 72 | Gold Coast |