afl-tips.com

West Coast vs Gold Coast Tips

Round 1 2027, Sun 21 Mar, 6:10pm AEDT at Optus Stadium: we tip Gold Coast by 8 with a 60% win chance.

Our tip
Gold Coastby 8 points
Win chance
60%West Coast 40.5%, Gold Coast 59.5%
Predicted score
84–92West Coast first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

WCEGCS

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Gold Coast59.5%7.9 pts
Elo Predicts!Gold Coast80.7%41.0 pts
s10Gold Coast62.4%10.8 pts
SquiggleGold Coast61.2%10.8 pts
StattractionGold Coast65.3%13.7 pts
Wheelo RatingsGold Coast59.4%7.8 pts
Squiggle aggregateGold Coast66.7%18.3 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Gold Coast

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

West Coast rate −20.8 overall (16th) and Gold Coast −1.8 (12th), which leaves Gold Coast 8 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
West Coast−10.8−10.0−20.8LLLLL
Gold Coast+0.5−2.4−1.8LLWLW
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
191 drawn
West Coast wins
10
Gold Coast wins
8
Average margin
43.9points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 11People First StadiumGold Coast 80, West Coast 77Gold Coast
2018Round 4Optus StadiumWest Coast 139, Gold Coast 59West Coast
2019Round 7Optus StadiumWest Coast 80, Gold Coast 57West Coast
2020Round 2People First StadiumGold Coast 90, West Coast 46Gold Coast
2021Round 1Optus StadiumWest Coast 83, Gold Coast 58West Coast
2022Round 1Optus StadiumWest Coast 80, Gold Coast 107Gold Coast
2022Round 20People First StadiumGold Coast 107, West Coast 104Gold Coast
2023Round 9Optus StadiumWest Coast 43, Gold Coast 113Gold Coast
2024Round 7People First StadiumGold Coast 112, West Coast 75Gold Coast
2024Round 21Optus StadiumWest Coast 97, Gold Coast 87West Coast
2025Round 1Optus StadiumWest Coast 49, Gold Coast 136Gold Coast
2026Round 1People First StadiumGold Coast 131, West Coast 72Gold Coast
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.