afl-tips.com

Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane Lions Tips

Round 19 2027, Mon 19 Jul, 12:00pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip Brisbane Lions by 2 with a 53% win chance.

Our tip
Brisbaneby 2 points
Win chance
53%Western Bulldogs 47.2%, Brisbane 52.8%
Predicted score
95–97Western Bulldogs first
Models with us
4 of 51 tip Western Bulldogs

Every model on this game

WBDBRI

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Brisbane52.8%2.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Brisbane57.8%15.0 pts
s10Brisbane59.5%8.1 pts
SquiggleWestern Bulldogs53.9%2.6 pts
StattractionBrisbane61.6%10.2 pts
Wheelo RatingsBrisbane57.3%6.0 pts
Squiggle aggregateBrisbane55.7%7.2 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Brisbane

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Western Bulldogs rate +1.8 overall (9th) and Brisbane +14.8 (1st), which leaves Brisbane 2 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Western Bulldogs+0.1+1.7+1.8LDWWL
Brisbane+17.4−2.6+14.8WLWWW
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
22no draws
Western Bulldogs wins
11
Brisbane wins
11
Average margin
27.9points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 8Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 107, Brisbane 93Western Bulldogs
2019Round 8Eureka StadiumWestern Bulldogs 92, Brisbane 76Western Bulldogs
2019Round 20GabbaBrisbane 98, Western Bulldogs 80Brisbane
2020Round 11GabbaBrisbane 96, Western Bulldogs 72Brisbane
2021Round 4Eureka StadiumWestern Bulldogs 73, Brisbane 54Western Bulldogs
2021Semi-FinalsGabbaBrisbane 78, Western Bulldogs 79Western Bulldogs
2022Round 16GabbaBrisbane 108, Western Bulldogs 67Brisbane
2023Round 3Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 67, Brisbane 53Western Bulldogs
2024Round 13Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 71, Brisbane 114Brisbane
2025Round 5Norwood OvalWestern Bulldogs 97, Brisbane 118Brisbane
2025Round 19GabbaBrisbane 86, Western Bulldogs 76Brisbane
2026Opening RoundGabbaBrisbane 106, Western Bulldogs 111Western Bulldogs
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 19 tips Western Bulldogs fixture Brisbane Lions fixture