afl-tips.com

Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Tips

Round 2 2027, Thu 25 Mar, 7:50pm AEDT at Gabba: we tip Brisbane Lions by 24 with a 77% win chance.

Our tip
Brisbaneby 24 points
Win chance
77%Brisbane 76.6%, Collingwood 23.4%
Predicted score
111–87Brisbane first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

BRICOL

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Brisbane76.6%23.9 pts
Elo Predicts!Brisbane70.3%6.0 pts
s10Brisbane73.7%21.5 pts
SquiggleBrisbane62.4%11.9 pts
StattractionBrisbane72.4%21.1 pts
Wheelo RatingsBrisbane75.0%22.0 pts
Squiggle aggregateBrisbane70.0%15.2 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Brisbane

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Brisbane rate +14.8 overall (1st) and Collingwood +0.9 (10th), which leaves Brisbane 24 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Brisbane+17.4−2.6+14.8WLWWW
Collingwood+3.0−2.1+0.9LWDLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
23no draws
Brisbane wins
11
Collingwood wins
12
Average margin
35.5points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2021Round 22GabbaBrisbane 142, Collingwood 57Brisbane
2022Round 5GabbaBrisbane 98, Collingwood 91Brisbane
2023Round 4GabbaBrisbane 116, Collingwood 83Brisbane
2023Round 23Marvel StadiumCollingwood 100, Brisbane 124Brisbane
2023Grand FinalMCGCollingwood 90, Brisbane 86Collingwood
2024Round 3GabbaBrisbane 72, Collingwood 92Collingwood
2024Round 23MCGCollingwood 79, Brisbane 78Collingwood
2025Round 6GabbaBrisbane 53, Collingwood 105Collingwood
2025Round 21MCGCollingwood 65, Brisbane 92Brisbane
2025Preliminary FinalsMCGCollingwood 71, Brisbane 100Brisbane
2026Round 4GabbaBrisbane 119, Collingwood 65Brisbane
2026Round 24MCGCollingwood 96, Brisbane 159Brisbane
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Mon 5 Jul12:00pm AEST · MCGCollingwood46%COLBRI54%BrisbaneBrisbane by 4Models 1–4

More on this game

All Round 2 tips Brisbane Lions fixture Collingwood fixture