AFL Round 17 Tips 2027
our tip, win chance and margin cover each of the 9 games from Mon 5 Jul, beside 5 public models that are already included.
- Opening bounce
- Mon 5 Jul12:00pm AEST, MCG
- Games
- 9No byes this round
- Pick for the streak
- Fremantle92% to win, our safest tip
- Games with split picks
- 6where the models do not agree
Round 17 picks
our win chanceeach public modelThe Squiggle aggregate.
The round-deciding games
For these 3 games, our win chance is nearest an even chance. These games decide the fate of a round, so tip them with care.
- Hawthorn v GeelongGeelong 51%, by 1
- Collingwood v BrisbaneBrisbane 54%, by 4
- GWS v CarltonGWS 55%, by 4
Streak selection
Fremantle
Our likeliest round winner: 92% against Richmond. Choose this for a streak game, where a single miss resets the count.
Gauntlet selection
West Coast
Our season plan selects one club each round without repeating a club, so it picks West Coast here at 65%. View all 24 rounds
All games and models
| Game | Kick-off | Our tip | Win chance | Elo Predicts! | s10 | Squiggle | Stattraction | Wheelo Ratings | Aggregate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collingwood v Brisbane | Mon 5 Jul, 12:00pm AEST | Brisbane | 54.4% | BRI 57% | BRI 60% | COL 52% | BRI 62% | BRI 57% | BRI 56% |
| Gold Coast v Western Bulldogs | Mon 5 Jul, 12:00pm AEST | Gold Coast | 57.4% | WBD 58% | GCS 57% | GCS 53% | GCS 52% | GCS 62% | GCS 52% |
| GWS v Carlton | Mon 5 Jul, 12:00pm AEST | GWS | 54.7% | GWS 75% | GWS 51% | GWS 52% | CAR 53% | GWS 55% | GWS 57% |
| Hawthorn v Geelong | Mon 5 Jul, 12:00pm AEST | Geelong | 51.2% | GEE 53% | GEE 54% | HAW 64% | GEE 56% | GEE 52% | HAW 51% |
| Melbourne v Port Adelaide | Mon 5 Jul, 12:00pm AEST | Melbourne | 75.0% | PTA 50% | MEL 75% | MEL 71% | MEL 75% | MEL 75% | MEL 68% |
| North Melbourne v Sydney | Mon 5 Jul, 12:00pm AEST | Sydney | 64.8% | SYD 76% | SYD 72% | SYD 72% | SYD 74% | SYD 70% | SYD 73% |
| Adelaide v St Kilda | Mon 5 Jul, 12:30pm AEST | Adelaide | 72.9% | ADE 82% | ADE 65% | ADE 62% | ADE 63% | ADE 67% | ADE 69% |
| Fremantle v Richmond | Mon 5 Jul, 2:00pm AEST | Fremantle | 91.5% | FRE 90% | FRE 92% | FRE 93% | FRE 93% | FRE 91% | FRE 92% |
| West Coast v Essendon | Mon 5 Jul, 2:00pm AEST | West Coast | 64.8% | ESS 60% | WCE 64% | WCE 69% | WCE 61% | WCE 66% | WCE 59% |