afl-tips.com

Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Tips

Round 18 2027, Mon 12 Jul, 12:00pm AEST at Gabba: we tip Brisbane Lions by 32 with a 84% win chance.

Our tip
Brisbaneby 32 points
Win chance
84%Brisbane 83.6%, North Melbourne 16.4%
Predicted score
115–83Brisbane first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

BRINTH

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Brisbane83.6%32.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Brisbane96.8%55.0 pts
s10Brisbane85.6%36.9 pts
SquiggleBrisbane81.3%32.4 pts
StattractionBrisbane85.4%38.6 pts
Wheelo RatingsBrisbane85.9%35.2 pts
Squiggle aggregateBrisbane87.3%40.3 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Brisbane

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Brisbane rate +14.8 overall (1st) and North Melbourne −7.3 (14th), which leaves Brisbane 32 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Brisbane+17.4−2.6+14.8WLWWW
North Melbourne−1.1−6.2−7.3LLWLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
201 drawn
Brisbane wins
10
North Melbourne wins
9
Average margin
40.6points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 23GabbaBrisbane 79, North Melbourne 130North Melbourne
2018Round 11Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 141, Brisbane 87North Melbourne
2018Round 20GabbaBrisbane 104, North Melbourne 107North Melbourne
2019Round 2Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 87, Brisbane 107Brisbane
2019Round 18GabbaBrisbane 87, North Melbourne 75Brisbane
2020Round 12People First StadiumNorth Melbourne 52, Brisbane 53Brisbane
2021Round 14Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 45, Brisbane 68Brisbane
2022Round 3GabbaBrisbane 156, North Melbourne 48Brisbane
2023Round 5Adelaide HillsBrisbane 152, North Melbourne 77Brisbane
2024Round 4Norwood OvalBrisbane 112, North Melbourne 42Brisbane
2025Round 9Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 71, Brisbane 71Draw
2026Round 5Barossa ParkNorth Melbourne 66, Brisbane 92Brisbane
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 18 tips Brisbane Lions fixture North Melbourne fixture