afl-tips.com

AFL Round 18 Tips 2027

for all 9 games from Mon 12 Jul, we list our tip, win chance and margin beside the 5 public models already included.

Opening bounce
Mon 12 Jul12:00pm AEST, Gabba
Games
9No byes this round
Streak choice
Sydney92% to win, our safest tip
Games with split predictions
3where the models do not agree

Round 18 picks

Round 18
Mon 12 Jul12:00pm AEST · GabbaBrisbane84%BRINTH16%North MelbourneBrisbane by 32Models 5–0Mon 12 Jul12:00pm AEST · MCGCarlton49%CARMEL51%MelbourneMelbourne by 1Models 2–3Mon 12 Jul12:00pm AEST · MCGCollingwood39%COLGEE62%GeelongGeelong by 10Models 0–5Mon 12 Jul12:00pm AEST · Marvel StadiumEssendon33%ESSGWS67%GWSGWS by 14Models 0–5Mon 12 Jul12:00pm AEST · York ParkHawthorn74%HAWGCS26%Gold CoastHawthorn by 21Models 5–0Mon 12 Jul12:00pm AEST · MCGRichmond33%RICSTK68%St KildaSt Kilda by 15Models 0–5Mon 12 Jul12:00pm AEST · SCGSydney92%SYDWCE8%West CoastSydney by 46Models 5–0Mon 12 Jul12:00pm AEST · Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs57%WBDADE43%AdelaideWestern Bulldogs by 6Models 4–1Mon 12 Jul12:30pm AEST · Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide34%PTAFRE66%FremantleFremantle by 13Models 1–4
Printable chartDownload CSVFirst game carries a margin for the tiebreaker.

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle's combined figures

The games deciding the round

In these 3 games, our win chance is closest to a coin toss. Tip these with care, because these games decide a round.

Streak choice

Sydney

Against West Coast, our most likely round winner has a 92% win chance. For a streak game, choose this tip, since one wrong pick resets the count.

Gauntlet choice

Sydney

Pick one club each round without choosing the same club twice. Our season plan selects Sydney here at 92%. View all 24 rounds

All games and models

GameKick-offOur tipWin chanceElo Predicts!s10SquiggleStattractionWheelo RatingsAggregate
Brisbane v North MelbourneMon 12 Jul, 12:00pm AESTBrisbane83.6%BRI 97%BRI 86%BRI 81%BRI 85%BRI 86%BRI 87%
Carlton v MelbourneMon 12 Jul, 12:00pm AESTMelbourne50.7%CAR 61%MEL 55%CAR 57%MEL 52%MEL 57%CAR 52%
Collingwood v GeelongMon 12 Jul, 12:00pm AESTGeelong61.5%GEE 59%GEE 67%GEE 61%GEE 72%GEE 63%GEE 64%
Essendon v GWSMon 12 Jul, 12:00pm AESTGWS66.6%GWS 77%GWS 70%GWS 75%GWS 71%GWS 69%GWS 73%
Hawthorn v Gold CoastMon 12 Jul, 12:00pm AESTHawthorn73.7%HAW 74%HAW 71%HAW 79%HAW 73%HAW 68%HAW 74%
Richmond v St KildaMon 12 Jul, 12:00pm AESTSt Kilda67.5%STK 78%STK 73%STK 76%STK 77%STK 70%STK 75%
Sydney v West CoastMon 12 Jul, 12:00pm AESTSydney92.0%SYD 92%SYD 90%SYD 92%SYD 88%SYD 92%SYD 91%
Western Bulldogs v AdelaideMon 12 Jul, 12:00pm AESTWestern Bulldogs56.9%WBD 59%WBD 50%WBD 67%ADE 52%WBD 53%WBD 57%
Port Adelaide v FremantleMon 12 Jul, 12:30pm AESTFremantle65.6%PTA 51%FRE 72%FRE 68%FRE 77%FRE 67%FRE 65%
Every cell lists the club a source backs and that source's win chance. The Squiggle API supplies model tips, while our ratings model supplies ours.