afl-tips.com

Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tips

Round 14 2027, Sat 19 Jun, 4:35pm AEST at Gabba: we tip Brisbane Lions by 47 with a 92% win chance.

Our tip
Brisbaneby 47 points
Win chance
92%Brisbane 92.2%, Richmond 7.8%
Predicted score
118–71Brisbane first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

BRIRIC

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Brisbane92.2%46.8 pts
Elo Predicts!Brisbane96.8%55.0 pts
s10Brisbane91.4%48.0 pts
SquiggleBrisbane93.4%53.2 pts
StattractionBrisbane90.7%49.6 pts
Wheelo RatingsBrisbane92.2%46.3 pts
Squiggle aggregateBrisbane93.3%51.0 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Brisbane

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Brisbane rate +14.8 overall (1st) and Richmond −21.8 (17th), which leaves Brisbane 47 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Brisbane+17.4−2.6+14.8WLWWW
Richmond−13.1−8.7−21.8LWLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
21no draws
Brisbane wins
7
Richmond wins
14
Average margin
42.2points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2019Round 23MCGRichmond 82, Brisbane 55Richmond
2019Finals Week 1GabbaBrisbane 65, Richmond 112Richmond
2020Round 10People First StadiumRichmond 82, Brisbane 41Richmond
2020Finals Week 1GabbaBrisbane 69, Richmond 54Brisbane
2021Round 10GabbaBrisbane 102, Richmond 74Brisbane
2021Round 18People First StadiumRichmond 106, Brisbane 86Richmond
2022Round 20MCGRichmond 104, Brisbane 97Richmond
2022Finals Week 1GabbaBrisbane 106, Richmond 104Brisbane
2023Round 16GabbaBrisbane 134, Richmond 53Brisbane
2024Round 10GabbaBrisbane 163, Richmond 44Brisbane
2025Round 4MCGRichmond 90, Brisbane 118Brisbane
2026Round 14Bellerive OvalRichmond 80, Brisbane 115Brisbane
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 14 tips Brisbane Lions fixture Richmond fixture