afl-tips.com

AFL Round 14 Tips 2027

from Thu 17 Jun there are 7 games, and for each one we show a tip, a win chance and a margin, alongside 5 public models already listed.

The first bounce
Thu 17 Jun7:30pm AEST, MCG
Games
74 clubs on a bye
Streak tip
Brisbane92% to win, our safest tip
Games with split predictions
3where the models do not agree

Tips for Round 14

Round 14
Thu 17 Jun7:30pm AEST · MCGHawthorn60%HAWFRE40%FremantleHawthorn by 8Models 4–1Fri 18 Jun7:40pm AEST · Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs42%WBDGEE59%GeelongGeelong by 7Models 0–5Sat 19 Jun1:35pm AEST · Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide33%PTASYD67%SydneySydney by 15Models 1–4Sat 19 Jun4:35pm AEST · GabbaBrisbane92%BRIRIC8%RichmondBrisbane by 47Models 5–0Sat 19 Jun7:35pm AEST · Marvel StadiumEssendon32%ESSNTH68%North MelbourneNorth Melbourne by 16Models 1–4Sun 20 Jun3:15pm AEST · Adelaide OvalAdelaide65%ADEMEL36%MelbourneAdelaide by 12Models 5–0Sun 20 Jun5:10pm AEST · Sydney ShowgroundGWS63%GWSGCS37%Gold CoastGWS by 11Models 5–0

Carlton has a bye, and so do Collingwood, St Kilda, West Coast

Printable chartDownload CSVFirst game carries a margin for the tiebreaker.

our win chanceeach public modelThe Squiggle aggregate.

Games that decide the round

Our win chance is closest to a coin toss in these 3 games. Tip them with care. A round gets won or lost in these.

The streak pick

Brisbane

Against Richmond, our most likely winner of the round has a 92% chance. For a streak game, use this pick since any miss resets the count.

The gauntlet pick

Brisbane

One club each round, no club twice: our season plan has Brisbane at 92% here. See 24 rounds in all

All games, all models

GameKick-offOur tipWin chanceElo Predicts!s10SquiggleStattractionWheelo RatingsAggregate
Hawthorn v FremantleThu 17 Jun, 7:30pm AESTHawthorn59.6%HAW 79%HAW 54%HAW 69%FRE 52%HAW 59%HAW 64%
Western Bulldogs v GeelongFri 18 Jun, 7:40pm AESTGeelong58.5%GEE 54%GEE 66%GEE 58%GEE 71%GEE 61%GEE 61%
Port Adelaide v SydneySat 19 Jun, 1:35pm AESTSydney67.0%PTA 51%SYD 71%SYD 72%SYD 72%SYD 70%SYD 66%
Brisbane v RichmondSat 19 Jun, 4:35pm AESTBrisbane92.2%BRI 97%BRI 91%BRI 93%BRI 91%BRI 92%BRI 93%
Essendon v North MelbourneSat 19 Jun, 7:35pm AESTNorth Melbourne68.4%ESS 57%NTH 66%NTH 73%NTH 66%NTH 66%NTH 62%
Adelaide v MelbourneSun 20 Jun, 3:15pm AESTAdelaide64.5%ADE 83%ADE 53%ADE 60%ADE 51%ADE 54%ADE 62%
GWS v Gold CoastSun 20 Jun, 5:10pm AESTGWS63.2%GWS 67%GWS 57%GWS 56%GWS 57%GWS 58%GWS 60%
Every cell shows which club a source tips and that club's win chance. The Squiggle API supplies the model tips; our ratings model supplies ours.