afl-tips.com

Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Tips

Round 6 2027, Sat 24 Apr, 1:15pm AEST at Gabba: we tip Brisbane Lions by 46 with a 92% win chance.

Our tip
Brisbaneby 46 points
Win chance
92%Brisbane 91.8%, West Coast 8.2%
Predicted score
119–73Brisbane first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

BRIWCE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Brisbane91.8%45.8 pts
Elo Predicts!Brisbane97.0%52.0 pts
s10Brisbane89.5%43.5 pts
SquiggleBrisbane88.9%44.4 pts
StattractionBrisbane88.0%43.2 pts
Wheelo RatingsBrisbane91.0%43.8 pts
Squiggle aggregateBrisbane91.2%45.9 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Brisbane

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Brisbane rate +14.8 overall (1st) and West Coast −20.8 (16th), which leaves Brisbane 46 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Brisbane+17.4−2.6+14.8WLWWW
West Coast−10.8−10.0−20.8LLLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
17no draws
Brisbane wins
9
West Coast wins
8
Average margin
42.5points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2016Round 1SubiacoWest Coast 166, Brisbane 102West Coast
2016Round 13GabbaBrisbane 82, West Coast 131West Coast
2017Round 19SubiacoWest Coast 113, Brisbane 45West Coast
2018Round 23GabbaBrisbane 72, West Coast 98West Coast
2019Round 1GabbaBrisbane 102, West Coast 58Brisbane
2020Round 3GabbaBrisbane 74, West Coast 44Brisbane
2021Round 23GabbaBrisbane 125, West Coast 87Brisbane
2022Round 8GabbaBrisbane 105, West Coast 30Brisbane
2023Round 17GabbaBrisbane 116, West Coast 35Brisbane
2024Round 18Optus StadiumWest Coast 93, Brisbane 106Brisbane
2025Round 2GabbaBrisbane 94, West Coast 75Brisbane
2026Round 19Optus StadiumWest Coast 69, Brisbane 93Brisbane
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 6 tips Brisbane Lions fixture West Coast fixture