afl-tips.com

AFL Round 6 Tips 2027

starting Thu 22 Apr, see 9 games with our tip, win chance and margin, alongside the 5 public models already included.

The first bounce
Thu 22 Apr7:30pm AEST, People First Stadium
Games
9No byes this round
Streak selection
Brisbane92% to win, our safest tip
Games with split predictions
4where the models do not agree

Round 6 picks

Round 6
Thu 22 Apr7:30pm AEST · People First StadiumGold Coast46%GCSHAW54%HawthornHawthorn by 4Models 0–5Fri 23 Apr7:40pm AEST · SCGSydney71%SYDADE29%AdelaideSydney by 18Models 4–1Sat 24 Apr1:15pm AEST · GabbaBrisbane92%BRIWCE8%West CoastBrisbane by 46Models 5–0Sat 24 Apr4:15pm AEST · GMHBA StadiumGeelong78%GEENTH22%North MelbourneGeelong by 25Models 5–0Sat 24 Apr7:40pm AEST · MCGMelbourne79%MELRIC22%RichmondMelbourne by 26Models 5–0Sat 24 Apr8:10pm AEST · Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide43%PTACAR57%CarltonCarlton by 6Models 1–4Sun 25 Apr12:15pm AEST · Manuka OvalGWS56%GWSWBD44%Western BulldogsGWS by 5Models 3–2Sun 25 Apr3:15pm AEST · MCGCollingwood79%COLESS21%EssendonCollingwood by 26Models 5–0Sun 25 Apr8:15pm AEST · Optus StadiumFremantle78%FRESTK22%St KildaFremantle by 26Models 5–0
Printable chartDownload CSVFirst game carries a margin for the tiebreaker.

our win chanceeach public modelThe Squiggle aggregate.

The matches that decide the round

Our win chance is closest to a coin toss in these 3 games. Pick them with care; these games decide the round.

Streak selection

Brisbane

At 92% against West Coast, this is our most likely winner of the round. Choose it for a streak game, where a single miss resets the count.

Gauntlet selection

Collingwood

Never the same club twice, one club a round: here at 79%, our season plan goes with Collingwood. View all 24 rounds

Every match and model

GameKick-offOur tipWin chanceElo Predicts!s10SquiggleStattractionWheelo RatingsAggregate
Gold Coast v HawthornThu 22 Apr, 7:30pm AESTHawthorn54.4%HAW 54%HAW 57%HAW 67%HAW 63%GCS 50%HAW 59%
Sydney v AdelaideFri 23 Apr, 7:40pm AESTSydney71.0%ADE 57%SYD 69%SYD 72%SYD 68%SYD 70%SYD 63%
Brisbane v West CoastSat 24 Apr, 1:15pm AESTBrisbane91.8%BRI 97%BRI 90%BRI 89%BRI 88%BRI 91%BRI 91%
Geelong v North MelbourneSat 24 Apr, 4:15pm AESTGeelong77.6%GEE 89%GEE 84%GEE 81%GEE 87%GEE 82%GEE 85%
Melbourne v RichmondSat 24 Apr, 7:40pm AESTMelbourne78.5%MEL 73%MEL 84%MEL 78%MEL 83%MEL 84%MEL 80%
Port Adelaide v CarltonSat 24 Apr, 8:10pm AESTCarlton56.8%PTA 58%CAR 61%CAR 59%CAR 64%CAR 58%CAR 56%
GWS v Western BulldogsSun 25 Apr, 12:15pm AESTGWS56.4%WBD 55%GWS 52%WBD 50%GWS 53%GWS 51%WBD 50%
Collingwood v EssendonSun 25 Apr, 3:15pm AESTCollingwood78.7%COL 83%COL 79%COL 83%COL 78%COL 80%COL 81%
Fremantle v St KildaSun 25 Apr, 8:15pm AESTFremantle78.1%FRE 74%FRE 79%FRE 73%FRE 79%FRE 78%FRE 76%
Each cell shows a source's chosen club and win chance. The Squiggle API provides the model tips, while our ratings model provides ours.