afl-tips.com

Carlton vs Fremantle Tips

Round 11 2027, Sun 30 May, 6:10pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip Carlton by 1 with a 51% win chance.

Our tip
Carltonby 1 points
Win chance
51%Carlton 51.3%, Fremantle 48.7%
Predicted score
86–85Carlton first
Models with us
1 of 54 tip Fremantle

Every model on this game

CARFRE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Carlton51.3%1.1 pts
Elo Predicts!Carlton52.4%1.0 pts
s10Fremantle56.1%5.4 pts
SquiggleFremantle51.4%1.1 pts
StattractionFremantle61.0%9.8 pts
Wheelo RatingsFremantle51.1%0.9 pts
Squiggle aggregateFremantle52.8%2.7 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Carlton

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Carlton rate +5.4 overall (7th) and Fremantle +12.8 (4th), which leaves Carlton 1 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Carlton+2.2+3.1+5.4WDWWL
Fremantle+5.7+7.1+12.8LLWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
19no draws
Carlton wins
10
Fremantle wins
9
Average margin
25.9points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 21Optus StadiumFremantle 101, Carlton 72Fremantle
2019Round 15Optus StadiumFremantle 75, Carlton 79Carlton
2020Round 12Optus StadiumFremantle 36, Carlton 40Carlton
2021Round 3Marvel StadiumCarlton 109, Fremantle 64Carlton
2021Round 16MCGFremantle 64, Carlton 80Carlton
2022Round 6Optus StadiumFremantle 97, Carlton 62Fremantle
2022Round 15Marvel StadiumCarlton 81, Fremantle 50Carlton
2023Round 17Optus StadiumFremantle 45, Carlton 98Carlton
2024Round 4Adelaide OvalFremantle 63, Carlton 73Carlton
2025Round 21Optus StadiumFremantle 94, Carlton 67Fremantle
2026Round 7Optus StadiumFremantle 103, Carlton 89Fremantle
2026Round 24Marvel StadiumCarlton 119, Fremantle 82Carlton
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 11 tips Carlton fixture Fremantle fixture