AFL Round 11 Tips 2027
we have 7 games from Thu 27 May. Each one comes with a tip, a win chance and a margin, placed alongside the 5 public models already here.
- The opening bounce
- Thu 27 May7:30pm AEST, Marvel Stadium
- Games
- 74 clubs on a bye
- Streak tip
- GWS83% to win, our safest tip
- Games with a split
- 2where the models do not agree
Tips for Round 11
Byes: Adelaide, Brisbane, Gold Coast, Richmond
our win chanceeach public modelThe Squiggle aggregate.
Games that decide the round
In 3 games our win chance is closest to even. These are the games where a round is won or lost, so tip them with care.
- Carlton v FremantleThe margin is 1, with Carlton at 51%.
- Port Adelaide v CollingwoodCollingwood at 52%, by 1.
- Western Bulldogs v SydneySydney at 53%, by 2.
Streak tip
GWS
For the round, our most likely winner sits at 83% against Essendon. Play it in a streak game; one miss there resets the count.
Gauntlet choice
GWS
Each round has one club from our season plan, with no club chosen twice: GWS at 83%. Explore all 24 rounds
All games and models
| Game | Kick-off | Our tip | Win chance | Elo Predicts! | s10 | Squiggle | Stattraction | Wheelo Ratings | Aggregate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Bulldogs v Sydney | Thu 27 May, 7:30pm AEST | Sydney | 52.7% | WBD 76% | SYD 60% | SYD 53% | SYD 61% | SYD 59% | WBD 51% |
| Geelong v Melbourne | Fri 28 May, 7:40pm AEST | Geelong | 65.4% | GEE 81% | GEE 66% | GEE 76% | GEE 66% | GEE 66% | GEE 72% |
| Hawthorn v St Kilda | Sat 29 May, 1:15pm AEST | Hawthorn | 74.2% | HAW 78% | HAW 70% | HAW 78% | HAW 70% | HAW 70% | HAW 74% |
| GWS v Essendon | Sat 29 May, 4:15pm AEST | GWS | 83.1% | GWS 87% | GWS 81% | GWS 84% | GWS 80% | GWS 82% | GWS 83% |
| Port Adelaide v Collingwood | Sat 29 May, 7:35pm AEST | Collingwood | 51.7% | COL 69% | COL 59% | COL 59% | COL 58% | COL 59% | COL 62% |
| North Melbourne v West Coast | Sun 30 May, 3:15pm AEST | North Melbourne | 59.3% | NTH 55% | NTH 52% | NTH 62% | NTH 51% | NTH 54% | NTH 55% |
| Carlton v Fremantle | Sun 30 May, 6:10pm AEST | Carlton | 51.3% | CAR 52% | FRE 56% | FRE 51% | FRE 61% | FRE 51% | FRE 53% |