afl-tips.com

Collingwood vs Essendon Tips

Round 6 2027, Sun 25 Apr, 3:15pm AEST at MCG: we tip Collingwood by 26 with a 79% win chance.

Our tip
Collingwoodby 26 points
Win chance
79%Collingwood 78.7%, Essendon 21.3%
Predicted score
103–76Collingwood first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

COLESS

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Collingwood78.7%26.2 pts
Elo Predicts!Collingwood82.9%38.0 pts
s10Collingwood78.8%27.3 pts
SquiggleCollingwood82.7%34.4 pts
StattractionCollingwood77.6%27.0 pts
Wheelo RatingsCollingwood80.1%27.6 pts
Squiggle aggregateCollingwood80.8%31.8 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Collingwood

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Collingwood rate +0.9 overall (10th) and Essendon −22.3 (18th), which leaves Collingwood 26 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Collingwood+3.0−2.1+0.9LWDLL
Essendon−10.7−11.7−22.3LLLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
261 drawn
Collingwood wins
16
Essendon wins
9
Average margin
29.9points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2019Round 23MCGCollingwood 76, Essendon 65Collingwood
2020Round 5MCGCollingwood 48, Essendon 63Essendon
2021Round 6MCGCollingwood 85, Essendon 109Essendon
2021Round 23MCGEssendon 102, Collingwood 64Essendon
2022Round 6MCGEssendon 82, Collingwood 93Collingwood
2022Round 19MCGCollingwood 80, Essendon 76Collingwood
2023Round 6MCGCollingwood 90, Essendon 77Collingwood
2023Round 24MCGEssendon 31, Collingwood 101Collingwood
2024Round 7MCGEssendon 85, Collingwood 85Draw
2024Round 17MCGCollingwood 80, Essendon 92Essendon
2025Round 7MCGCollingwood 107, Essendon 66Collingwood
2026Round 7MCGEssendon 60, Collingwood 137Collingwood
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Mon 19 Jul12:00pm AEST · MCGEssendon21%ESSCOL79%CollingwoodCollingwood by 26Models 0–5

More on this game

All Round 6 tips Collingwood fixture Essendon fixture