afl-tips.com

Collingwood vs Fremantle Tips

For Round 3 2027 at MCG on Thu 1 Apr, 7: 30pm AEDT, our choice is Fremantle to win by 1 with a 51% win chance.

The tip we give
Fremantleby 1 points
Win chance
Collingwood 49.2%; Fremantle 50.8%; 51%
Score prediction
88–89Collingwood first
Models backing us
4 of 51 tip Collingwood

All models for this match

COLFRE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Fremantle50.8%0.7 pts
Elo Predicts!Collingwood71.0%10.0 pts
s10Fremantle59.9%9.0 pts
SquiggleFremantle50.0%0.0 pts
StattractionFremantle67.6%16.2 pts
Wheelo RatingsFremantle52.2%1.8 pts
Squiggle aggregateCollingwood50.3%2.0 pts
Each win chance applies to the club backed by that source. Public model tips come from the Squiggle API. Squiggle's average across every model makes up the aggregate. Results are graded after the siren.

Why our tip is Fremantle

We rate every club for attack and defence based on points against an average side. This game also includes the home ground and travel.

Collingwood's overall rating is +0.9 (10th), while Fremantle's is +12.8 (4th), which leaves Fremantle 1 point better on the day.

From 2015 to 2026, the model tipped 68.3% of 2,476 games correctly, while its average margin error was 27.0 points. How it works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Collingwood+3.0−2.1+0.9LWDLL
Fremantle+5.7+7.1+12.8LLWWL
Points per game against an average side at the start of 2027. Form covers the final five games of 2026, with the latest game on the right.

Head-to-head results since 2012

Meetings
181 drawn
Wins for Collingwood
9
Wins for Fremantle
8
The average margin
23.4points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 11MCGCollingwood 138, Fremantle 77Collingwood
2018Round 23Optus StadiumFremantle 67, Collingwood 76Collingwood
2019Round 11MCGCollingwood 75, Fremantle 79Fremantle
2020Round 9Optus StadiumFremantle 61, Collingwood 49Fremantle
2021Round 15Marvel StadiumCollingwood 79, Fremantle 91Fremantle
2022Round 10Optus StadiumFremantle 44, Collingwood 80Collingwood
2022Semi-FinalsMCGCollingwood 79, Fremantle 59Collingwood
2023Round 18MCGCollingwood 113, Fremantle 67Collingwood
2024Round 11Optus StadiumFremantle 75, Collingwood 75Draw
2025Round 9Optus StadiumFremantle 83, Collingwood 97Collingwood
2025Round 19MCGCollingwood 78, Fremantle 79Fremantle
2026Round 5Adelaide OvalCollingwood 39, Fremantle 45Fremantle
The most recent meetings are listed first. These results come from the Squiggle API.

Another meeting in 2027

Mon 26 Jul2:00pm AEST · Optus StadiumFremantle76%FRECOL24%CollingwoodFremantle by 23Models 4–1

More details about this match

All Round 3 tips Collingwood fixture Fremantle fixture