AFL Round 3 Tips 2027
for each of the 9 games from Thu 1 Apr, our pick, win chance and margin appear beside the 5 public models already included.
- Start of play
- Thu 1 Apr7:30pm AEDT, MCG
- Games
- 9No byes this round
- Streak selection
- Geelong88% to win, our safest tip
- Games with split views
- 5where the models do not agree
Tips for Round 3
our win chanceeach public modelThe Squiggle aggregate.
The round’s deciding games
Our win chance is closest to a coin toss in these 3 games. Pick these matches carefully, as that is where a round gets won or lost.
- Collingwood v FremantleTip: Fremantle, 51%, by 1.
- Carlton v BrisbaneTip: Brisbane, 51%, by 1.
- West Coast v Port AdelaideTip: West Coast 52%, by 2.
Streak selection
Geelong
Our most likely round winner has an 88% chance against Richmond. Use it for a streak game where a single miss resets the count.
Gauntlet selection
Hawthorn
One club is selected per round, and no club is chosen twice. Our season plan chooses Hawthorn here at 86%. View all 24 rounds
Every game and model
| Game | Kick-off | Our tip | Win chance | Elo Predicts! | s10 | Squiggle | Stattraction | Wheelo Ratings | Aggregate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collingwood v Fremantle | Thu 1 Apr, 7:30pm AEDT | Fremantle | 50.8% | COL 71% | FRE 60% | FRE 50% | FRE 68% | FRE 52% | COL 50% |
| Sydney v GWS | Fri 2 Apr, 7:15pm AEDT | Sydney | 72.0% | GWS 59% | SYD 72% | SYD 68% | SYD 71% | SYD 72% | SYD 63% |
| Carlton v Brisbane | Fri 2 Apr, 7:50pm AEDT | Brisbane | 51.4% | BRI 71% | BRI 55% | CAR 50% | BRI 56% | BRI 55% | BRI 58% |
| St Kilda v Melbourne | Sat 3 Apr, 1:35pm AEDT | Melbourne | 53.1% | STK 50% | MEL 58% | STK 50% | MEL 59% | MEL 58% | MEL 54% |
| Adelaide v Western Bulldogs | Sat 3 Apr, 4:35pm AEDT | Adelaide | 68.4% | ADE 55% | ADE 63% | ADE 52% | ADE 62% | ADE 63% | ADE 58% |
| Hawthorn v Essendon | Sat 3 Apr, 7:45pm AEDT | Hawthorn | 85.5% | HAW 82% | HAW 87% | HAW 91% | HAW 87% | HAW 87% | HAW 87% |
| Geelong v Richmond | Sun 4 Apr, 12:30pm AEST | Geelong | 88.4% | GEE 89% | GEE 91% | GEE 90% | GEE 92% | GEE 90% | GEE 90% |
| Gold Coast v North Melbourne | Sun 4 Apr, 3:15pm AEST | Gold Coast | 68.0% | GCS 87% | GCS 72% | GCS 66% | GCS 70% | GCS 73% | GCS 74% |
| West Coast v Port Adelaide | Sun 4 Apr, 6:10pm AEST | West Coast | 51.8% | PTA 73% | PTA 52% | WCE 50% | PTA 55% | WCE 51% | PTA 57% |