afl-tips.com

Collingwood vs Greater Western Sydney Tips

In Round 16 2027, Collingwood receives our tip to win by 13, with a 65% chance. The match at MCG starts Sat 3 Jul, 4: 35pm AEST.

The tip we give
Collingwoodby 13 points
Win chance
65%, with Collingwood 65.4% and GWS 34.6%
Score forecast
99–86Collingwood first
Models on our side
5 of 5every public model agrees

All models for this game

COLGWS

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Collingwood65.4%13.1 pts
Elo Predicts!Collingwood62.1%1.0 pts
s10Collingwood60.3%8.8 pts
SquiggleCollingwood66.8%16.0 pts
StattractionCollingwood59.0%7.8 pts
Wheelo RatingsCollingwood61.7%9.7 pts
Squiggle aggregateCollingwood62.4%8.6 pts
Each source's win chance applies to the club it tips. Public model tips come from the Squiggle API, while the aggregate represents Squiggle's average of all models. Results are graded after the siren.

Why our tip is Collingwood

Our ratings score each club's attack and defence by points against an average side. The home ground and travel are added for this game.

Collingwood's overall rating is +0.9 (10th), and GWS's is −0.2 (11th), leaving Collingwood 13 points better on the day.

From 2015 to 2026, this model provided tips across 2,476 games, getting 68.3% of them right. Its average margin error was 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Collingwood+3.0−2.1+0.9LWDLL
GWS+3.1−3.3−0.2LWLWL
Points per game against an average side, as of the start of 2027. Form covers the last five games of 2026, with the latest result on the right.

Head-to-head record since 2012

Meetings
18no draws
Wins for Collingwood
10
Wins for GWS
8
Margin on average
30.4points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 2MCGCollingwood 79, GWS 95GWS
2018Semi-FinalsMCGCollingwood 69, GWS 59Collingwood
2019Round 18Sydney ShowgroundGWS 122, Collingwood 75GWS
2019Preliminary FinalsMCGCollingwood 52, GWS 56GWS
2020Round 4Sydney ShowgroundGWS 66, Collingwood 64GWS
2021Round 4MCGCollingwood 60, GWS 90GWS
2022Round 15MCGCollingwood 88, GWS 77Collingwood
2023Round 9MCGCollingwood 120, GWS 55Collingwood
2023Preliminary FinalsMCGCollingwood 58, GWS 57Collingwood
2024Opening RoundSydney ShowgroundGWS 114, Collingwood 82GWS
2025Opening RoundSydney ShowgroundGWS 104, Collingwood 52GWS
2026Round 3Marvel StadiumCollingwood 87, GWS 54Collingwood
The most recent meetings are listed first. These results come from the Squiggle API.

More game information

All Round 16 tips Collingwood fixture Greater Western Sydney fixture