afl-tips.com

Collingwood vs Richmond Tips

Round 10 2027, Sat 22 May, 7:35pm AEST at MCG: we tip Collingwood by 23 with a 76% win chance.

Our tip
Collingwoodby 23 points
Win chance
76%Collingwood 75.6%, Richmond 24.4%
Predicted score
98–75Collingwood first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

COLRIC

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Collingwood75.6%22.9 pts
Elo Predicts!Collingwood91.2%51.0 pts
s10Collingwood77.9%26.2 pts
SquiggleCollingwood81.4%32.6 pts
StattractionCollingwood77.1%26.5 pts
Wheelo RatingsCollingwood78.6%25.9 pts
Squiggle aggregateCollingwood82.1%34.0 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Collingwood

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Collingwood rate +0.9 overall (10th) and Richmond −21.8 (17th), which leaves Collingwood 23 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Collingwood+3.0−2.1+0.9LWDLL
Richmond−13.1−8.7−21.8LWLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
201 drawn
Collingwood wins
11
Richmond wins
8
Average margin
28.1points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 6MCGCollingwood 70, Richmond 113Richmond
2018Round 19MCGRichmond 105, Collingwood 77Richmond
2018Preliminary FinalsMCGRichmond 58, Collingwood 97Collingwood
2019Round 2MCGRichmond 66, Collingwood 110Collingwood
2019Round 19MCGCollingwood 66, Richmond 98Richmond
2020Round 2MCGCollingwood 36, Richmond 36Draw
2021Round 17MCGRichmond 71, Collingwood 87Collingwood
2022Round 8MCGRichmond 113, Collingwood 86Richmond
2023Round 3MCGCollingwood 63, Richmond 49Collingwood
2024Round 20MCGCollingwood 93, Richmond 67Collingwood
2025Round 20MCGRichmond 57, Collingwood 93Collingwood
2026Round 16MCGCollingwood 106, Richmond 72Collingwood
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Mon 23 Aug12:00pm AEST · MCGRichmond24%RICCOL76%CollingwoodCollingwood by 23Models 0–5

More on this game

All Round 10 tips Collingwood fixture Richmond fixture