AFL Round 10 Tips 2027
our coverage from Thu 20 May includes 9 games, each with our tip, win chance and margin, beside the 5 public models already here.
- The first bounce
- Thu 20 May8:10pm AEST, Optus Stadium
- Games
- 9No byes this round
- Streak tip
- Geelong91% to win, our safest tip
- Games with a split
- 3where the models do not agree
Round 10 picks
our win chanceeach public modelThe Squiggle aggregate.
Games that decide the round
Our win chance is closest to a coin toss in these 3 games. Tip these games carefully, because that's where the round gets decided.
- Gold Coast v Carlton58% for Carlton, a margin of 7.
- St Kilda v GWSSt Kilda 60%, margin of 8.
- Western Bulldogs v North MelbourneWestern Bulldogs 62%, margin of 10.
Pick for a streak
Geelong
With a 91% chance against West Coast, this is our most likely round winner. Choose this for a streak game, where one wrong tip resets your count.
Pick for the gauntlet
Geelong
Choose one club each round and never pick the same club twice. Our season plan selects Geelong here at 91%. View all 24 rounds
All games and models
| Game | Kick-off | Our tip | Win chance | Elo Predicts! | s10 | Squiggle | Stattraction | Wheelo Ratings | Aggregate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremantle v Melbourne | Thu 20 May, 8:10pm AEST | Fremantle | 71.6% | FRE 74% | FRE 69% | FRE 75% | FRE 70% | FRE 68% | FRE 72% |
| Sydney v Hawthorn | Fri 21 May, 7:40pm AEST | Sydney | 66.4% | HAW 62% | SYD 63% | HAW 54% | SYD 60% | SYD 65% | SYD 52% |
| Port Adelaide v Brisbane | Sat 22 May, 1:15pm AEST | Brisbane | 66.7% | BRI 79% | BRI 71% | BRI 66% | BRI 73% | BRI 69% | BRI 72% |
| Geelong v West Coast | Sat 22 May, 4:15pm AEST | Geelong | 91.3% | GEE 96% | GEE 90% | GEE 94% | GEE 89% | GEE 92% | GEE 93% |
| Western Bulldogs v North Melbourne | Sat 22 May, 4:35pm AEST | Western Bulldogs | 62.2% | WBD 89% | WBD 64% | WBD 67% | WBD 65% | WBD 63% | WBD 71% |
| Collingwood v Richmond | Sat 22 May, 7:35pm AEST | Collingwood | 75.6% | COL 91% | COL 78% | COL 81% | COL 77% | COL 79% | COL 82% |
| St Kilda v GWS | Sun 23 May, 12:30pm AEST | St Kilda | 59.7% | GWS 62% | STK 58% | STK 60% | STK 59% | STK 56% | STK 53% |
| Essendon v Adelaide | Sun 23 May, 3:15pm AEST | Adelaide | 73.4% | ADE 81% | ADE 78% | ADE 73% | ADE 80% | ADE 76% | ADE 77% |
| Gold Coast v Carlton | Sun 23 May, 6:10pm AEST | Carlton | 57.8% | GCS 61% | CAR 51% | CAR 51% | CAR 59% | GCS 57% | GCS 52% |