afl-tips.com

Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs Tips

Round 8 2027, Fri 7 May, 7:40pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip Western Bulldogs by 5 with a 56% win chance.

Our tip
Western Bulldogsby 5 points
Win chance
56%Collingwood 43.8%, Western Bulldogs 56.2%
Predicted score
86–91Collingwood first
Models with us
3 of 52 tip Collingwood

Every model on this game

COLWBD

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Western Bulldogs56.2%5.1 pts
Elo Predicts!Western Bulldogs52.3%1.0 pts
s10Collingwood50.2%0.0 pts
SquiggleWestern Bulldogs51.5%1.6 pts
StattractionWestern Bulldogs50.8%0.8 pts
Wheelo RatingsCollingwood51.1%0.9 pts
Squiggle aggregateWestern Bulldogs50.9%0.6 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Western Bulldogs

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Collingwood rate +0.9 overall (10th) and Western Bulldogs +1.8 (9th), which leaves Western Bulldogs 5 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Collingwood+3.0−2.1+0.9LWDLL
Western Bulldogs+0.1+1.7+1.8LDWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
18no draws
Collingwood wins
8
Western Bulldogs wins
10
Average margin
18.7points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 1MCGCollingwood 86, Western Bulldogs 100Western Bulldogs
2018Round 10Marvel StadiumCollingwood 90, Western Bulldogs 55Collingwood
2019Round 4MCGCollingwood 78, Western Bulldogs 64Collingwood
2019Round 14Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 73, Collingwood 82Collingwood
2020Round 1Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 34, Collingwood 86Collingwood
2021Round 1MCGCollingwood 53, Western Bulldogs 69Western Bulldogs
2022Round 9Marvel StadiumCollingwood 51, Western Bulldogs 99Western Bulldogs
2023Round 17Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 77, Collingwood 89Collingwood
2024Round 12Marvel StadiumCollingwood 82, Western Bulldogs 100Western Bulldogs
2025Round 2MCGWestern Bulldogs 70, Collingwood 76Collingwood
2026Round 12Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 97, Collingwood 93Western Bulldogs
2026Wildcard FinalsMCGWestern Bulldogs 96, Collingwood 93Western Bulldogs
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 8 tips Collingwood fixture Western Bulldogs fixture