AFL Round 8 Tips 2027
starting Thu 6 May, 9 games are covered. For each one we give a tip, a win chance and a margin, set beside the 5 public models already in.
- Opening bounce
- Thu 6 May7:30pm AEST, MCG
- Games
- 9No byes this round
- Streak selection
- Melbourne86% to win, our safest tip
- Games with split predictions
- 2where the models do not agree
Round 8 selections
our win chanceeach public modelThe Squiggle aggregate.
Round-deciding games
Our win chance is closest to a coin toss in these 3 games. Because these are the games where rounds are won or lost, tip them with care.
- Collingwood v Western BulldogsWestern Bulldogs 56%, by 5
- Carlton v GeelongGeelong 59%, by 7
- Fremantle v BrisbaneFremantle is tipped to win by 9, with a 61% win chance.
Pick for your streak
Melbourne
Our most likely round winner is at 86% against West Coast. Play it in a streak game, where a single miss resets the count.
Gauntlet choice
Melbourne
Choose one club each round without repeating a club. Our season plan selects Melbourne for this round at 86%. View all 24 rounds
All games and models
| Game | Kick-off | Our tip | Win chance | Elo Predicts! | s10 | Squiggle | Stattraction | Wheelo Ratings | Aggregate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlton v Geelong | Thu 6 May, 7:30pm AEST | Geelong | 58.6% | GEE 75% | GEE 64% | GEE 60% | GEE 66% | GEE 63% | GEE 66% |
| Collingwood v Western Bulldogs | Fri 7 May, 7:40pm AEST | Western Bulldogs | 56.2% | WBD 52% | COL 50% | WBD 52% | WBD 51% | COL 51% | WBD 51% |
| Port Adelaide v Adelaide | Fri 7 May, 8:10pm AEST | Adelaide | 70.7% | ADE 74% | ADE 68% | ADE 63% | ADE 69% | ADE 67% | ADE 68% |
| Gold Coast v Essendon | Sat 8 May, 1:15pm AEST | Gold Coast | 81.8% | GCS 82% | GCS 82% | GCS 84% | GCS 79% | GCS 84% | GCS 82% |
| St Kilda v Richmond | Sat 8 May, 4:15pm AEST | St Kilda | 77.1% | STK 76% | STK 77% | STK 78% | STK 77% | STK 77% | STK 77% |
| Sydney v North Melbourne | Sat 8 May, 7:35pm AEST | Sydney | 83.6% | SYD 83% | SYD 85% | SYD 80% | SYD 86% | SYD 83% | SYD 83% |
| Hawthorn v GWS | Sun 9 May, 12:30pm AEST | Hawthorn | 72.3% | HAW 58% | HAW 71% | HAW 78% | HAW 74% | HAW 69% | HAW 70% |
| Melbourne v West Coast | Sun 9 May, 3:15pm AEST | Melbourne | 86.4% | MEL 86% | MEL 84% | MEL 81% | MEL 82% | MEL 86% | MEL 84% |
| Fremantle v Brisbane | Sun 9 May, 7:20pm AEST | Fremantle | 60.7% | BRI 62% | FRE 64% | FRE 67% | FRE 65% | FRE 62% | FRE 58% |