afl-tips.com

Fremantle vs Adelaide Tips

Round 2 2027, Fri 26 Mar, 7:15pm AEDT at Optus Stadium: we tip Fremantle by 17 with a 69% win chance.

Our tip
Fremantleby 17 points
Win chance
69%Fremantle 69.4%, Adelaide 30.6%
Predicted score
97–80Fremantle first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

FREADE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Fremantle69.4%16.8 pts
Elo Predicts!Fremantle52.2%1.0 pts
s10Fremantle72.2%20.3 pts
SquiggleFremantle70.6%19.8 pts
StattractionFremantle73.2%22.3 pts
Wheelo RatingsFremantle71.2%18.3 pts
Squiggle aggregateFremantle66.8%15.3 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Fremantle

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Fremantle rate +12.8 overall (4th) and Adelaide +6.8 (6th), which leaves Fremantle 17 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Fremantle+5.7+7.1+12.8LLWWL
Adelaide+6.2+0.5+6.8WLWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
20no draws
Fremantle wins
12
Adelaide wins
8
Average margin
26.1points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2016Round 21SubiacoFremantle 70, Adelaide 142Adelaide
2017Round 10Adelaide OvalAdelaide 143, Fremantle 43Adelaide
2018Round 12Optus StadiumFremantle 71, Adelaide 68Fremantle
2019Round 7Adelaide OvalAdelaide 51, Fremantle 34Adelaide
2020Round 5People First StadiumAdelaide 34, Fremantle 54Fremantle
2021Round 5Adelaide OvalAdelaide 72, Fremantle 84Fremantle
2022Round 1Adelaide OvalAdelaide 82, Fremantle 83Fremantle
2023Round 4Adelaide OvalAdelaide 111, Fremantle 72Adelaide
2024Round 3Optus StadiumFremantle 69, Adelaide 34Fremantle
2025Round 7Optus StadiumFremantle 85, Adelaide 67Fremantle
2026Round 4Adelaide OvalAdelaide 76, Fremantle 78Fremantle
2026Round 23Optus StadiumFremantle 112, Adelaide 88Fremantle
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Mon 16 Aug12:30pm AEST · Adelaide OvalAdelaide56%ADEFRE44%FremantleAdelaide by 5Models 2–3

More on this game

All Round 2 tips Fremantle fixture Adelaide fixture