afl-tips.com

Fremantle vs Richmond Tips

Round 17 2027, Mon 5 Jul, 2:00pm AEST at Optus Stadium: we tip Fremantle by 45 with a 92% win chance.

Our tip
Fremantleby 45 points
Win chance
92%Fremantle 91.5%, Richmond 8.5%
Predicted score
106–61Fremantle first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

FRERIC

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Fremantle91.5%45.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Fremantle89.9%40.0 pts
s10Fremantle92.0%50.2 pts
SquiggleFremantle92.5%51.4 pts
StattractionFremantle93.0%56.5 pts
Wheelo RatingsFremantle91.1%44.0 pts
Squiggle aggregateFremantle91.6%48.0 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Fremantle

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Fremantle rate +12.8 overall (4th) and Richmond −21.8 (17th), which leaves Fremantle 45 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Fremantle+5.7+7.1+12.8LLWWL
Richmond−13.1−8.7−21.8LWLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
201 drawn
Fremantle wins
11
Richmond wins
8
Average margin
31.6points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 8MCGRichmond 70, Fremantle 72Fremantle
2017Round 22SubiacoFremantle 51, Richmond 155Richmond
2018Round 7MCGRichmond 110, Fremantle 33Richmond
2019Round 8Optus StadiumFremantle 86, Richmond 111Richmond
2020Round 15People First StadiumRichmond 56, Fremantle 29Richmond
2021Round 20Optus StadiumFremantle 55, Richmond 51Fremantle
2022Round 19Marvel StadiumRichmond 52, Fremantle 52Draw
2023Round 13Optus StadiumFremantle 70, Richmond 85Richmond
2024Round 8MCGRichmond 49, Fremantle 103Fremantle
2024Round 17Optus StadiumFremantle 105, Richmond 54Fremantle
2025Round 5Barossa ParkRichmond 47, Fremantle 108Fremantle
2026Round 3Optus StadiumFremantle 103, Richmond 43Fremantle
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 17 tips Fremantle fixture Richmond fixture