Fremantle vs West Coast Tips
Round 5 2027, Fri 16 Apr, 8:10pm AEST at Optus Stadium: we tip Fremantle by 34 with a 85% win chance.
- Our tip
- Fremantleby 34 points
- Win chance
- 85%Fremantle 84.5%, West Coast 15.5%
- Predicted score
- 102–69Fremantle first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | Fremantle | 84.5% | 33.6 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | Fremantle | 86.0% | 42.0 pts |
| s10 | Fremantle | 86.9% | 39.6 pts |
| Squiggle | Fremantle | 82.3% | 33.9 pts |
| Stattraction | Fremantle | 89.0% | 45.6 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | Fremantle | 84.7% | 33.5 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | Fremantle | 85.5% | 38.8 pts |
Why we tip Fremantle
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
Fremantle rate +12.8 overall (4th) and West Coast −20.8 (16th), which leaves Fremantle 34 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremantle | +5.7 | +7.1 | +12.8 | LLWWL |
| West Coast | −10.8 | −10.0 | −20.8 | LLLLL |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 29no draws
- Fremantle wins
- 16
- West Coast wins
- 13
- Average margin
- 40.7points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Round 7 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 132, Fremantle 73 | West Coast |
| 2021 | Round 22 | Optus Stadium | Fremantle 79, West Coast 64 | Fremantle |
| 2022 | Round 3 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 47, Fremantle 102 | Fremantle |
| 2022 | Round 22 | Optus Stadium | Fremantle 71, West Coast 47 | Fremantle |
| 2023 | Round 3 | Optus Stadium | Fremantle 108, West Coast 67 | Fremantle |
| 2023 | Round 22 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 33, Fremantle 134 | Fremantle |
| 2024 | Round 6 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 105, Fremantle 68 | West Coast |
| 2024 | Round 20 | Optus Stadium | Fremantle 110, West Coast 75 | Fremantle |
| 2025 | Round 3 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 68, Fremantle 106 | Fremantle |
| 2025 | Round 20 | Optus Stadium | Fremantle 126, West Coast 77 | Fremantle |
| 2026 | Round 6 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 41, Fremantle 97 | Fremantle |
| 2026 | Round 20 | Optus Stadium | Fremantle 112, West Coast 42 | Fremantle |