afl-tips.com

Fremantle vs West Coast Tips

Round 5 2027, Fri 16 Apr, 8:10pm AEST at Optus Stadium: we tip Fremantle by 34 with a 85% win chance.

Our tip
Fremantleby 34 points
Win chance
85%Fremantle 84.5%, West Coast 15.5%
Predicted score
102–69Fremantle first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

FREWCE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Fremantle84.5%33.6 pts
Elo Predicts!Fremantle86.0%42.0 pts
s10Fremantle86.9%39.6 pts
SquiggleFremantle82.3%33.9 pts
StattractionFremantle89.0%45.6 pts
Wheelo RatingsFremantle84.7%33.5 pts
Squiggle aggregateFremantle85.5%38.8 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Fremantle

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Fremantle rate +12.8 overall (4th) and West Coast −20.8 (16th), which leaves Fremantle 34 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Fremantle+5.7+7.1+12.8LLWWL
West Coast−10.8−10.0−20.8LLLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
29no draws
Fremantle wins
16
West Coast wins
13
Average margin
40.7points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2021Round 7Optus StadiumWest Coast 132, Fremantle 73West Coast
2021Round 22Optus StadiumFremantle 79, West Coast 64Fremantle
2022Round 3Optus StadiumWest Coast 47, Fremantle 102Fremantle
2022Round 22Optus StadiumFremantle 71, West Coast 47Fremantle
2023Round 3Optus StadiumFremantle 108, West Coast 67Fremantle
2023Round 22Optus StadiumWest Coast 33, Fremantle 134Fremantle
2024Round 6Optus StadiumWest Coast 105, Fremantle 68West Coast
2024Round 20Optus StadiumFremantle 110, West Coast 75Fremantle
2025Round 3Optus StadiumWest Coast 68, Fremantle 106Fremantle
2025Round 20Optus StadiumFremantle 126, West Coast 77Fremantle
2026Round 6Optus StadiumWest Coast 41, Fremantle 97Fremantle
2026Round 20Optus StadiumFremantle 112, West Coast 42Fremantle
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.