afl-tips.com

Geelong vs North Melbourne Tips

Round 6 2027, Sat 24 Apr, 4:15pm AEST at GMHBA Stadium: we tip Geelong by 25 with a 78% win chance.

Our tip
Geelongby 25 points
Win chance
78%Geelong 77.6%, North Melbourne 22.4%
Predicted score
108–83Geelong first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

GEENTH

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Geelong77.6%25.1 pts
Elo Predicts!Geelong89.2%43.0 pts
s10Geelong84.2%35.3 pts
SquiggleGeelong81.2%32.4 pts
StattractionGeelong86.6%41.0 pts
Wheelo RatingsGeelong81.8%29.6 pts
Squiggle aggregateGeelong84.7%36.5 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Geelong

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Geelong rate +14.1 overall (3rd) and North Melbourne −7.3 (14th), which leaves Geelong 25 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Geelong+13.4+0.6+14.1WWWWL
North Melbourne−1.1−6.2−7.3LLWLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
24no draws
Geelong wins
19
North Melbourne wins
5
Average margin
37.1points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2019Round 21GMHBA StadiumGeelong 69, North Melbourne 14Geelong
2020Round 10GabbaGeelong 90, North Melbourne 57Geelong
2021Round 5GMHBA StadiumGeelong 77, North Melbourne 47Geelong
2021Round 20Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 42, Geelong 62Geelong
2022Round 6Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 61, Geelong 121Geelong
2022Round 16GMHBA StadiumGeelong 144, North Melbourne 32Geelong
2023Round 17GMHBA StadiumGeelong 125, North Melbourne 63Geelong
2024Round 5GMHBA StadiumGeelong 139, North Melbourne 64Geelong
2024Round 20Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 66, Geelong 106Geelong
2025Round 20Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 49, Geelong 150Geelong
2026Round 8GMHBA StadiumGeelong 135, North Melbourne 86Geelong
2026Round 23Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 110, Geelong 125Geelong
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 6 tips Geelong fixture North Melbourne fixture