afl-tips.com

Geelong vs West Coast Tips

Round 10 2027, Sat 22 May, 4:15pm AEST at GMHBA Stadium: we tip Geelong by 45 with a 91% win chance.

Our tip
Geelongby 45 points
Win chance
91%Geelong 91.3%, West Coast 8.7%
Predicted score
115–70Geelong first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

GEEWCE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Geelong91.3%44.8 pts
Elo Predicts!Geelong96.2%63.0 pts
s10Geelong90.2%45.2 pts
SquiggleGeelong93.7%53.9 pts
StattractionGeelong89.0%45.6 pts
Wheelo RatingsGeelong91.5%44.8 pts
Squiggle aggregateGeelong92.6%51.8 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Geelong

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Geelong rate +14.1 overall (3rd) and West Coast −20.8 (16th), which leaves Geelong 45 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Geelong+13.4+0.6+14.1WWWWL
West Coast−10.8−10.0−20.8LLLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
17no draws
Geelong wins
12
West Coast wins
5
Average margin
46.5points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 13SubiacoWest Coast 83, Geelong 70West Coast
2018Round 3Optus StadiumWest Coast 95, Geelong 80West Coast
2019Round 6GMHBA StadiumGeelong 104, West Coast 46Geelong
2019Semi-FinalsMCGGeelong 88, West Coast 68Geelong
2020Round 9Optus StadiumWest Coast 73, Geelong 64West Coast
2021Round 6GMHBA StadiumGeelong 136, West Coast 39Geelong
2022Round 14Optus StadiumWest Coast 63, Geelong 81Geelong
2022Round 23GMHBA StadiumGeelong 131, West Coast 46Geelong
2023Round 5Adelaide OvalGeelong 136, West Coast 89Geelong
2024Round 24GMHBA StadiumGeelong 168, West Coast 75Geelong
2025Round 12Optus StadiumWest Coast 73, Geelong 116Geelong
2026Round 5Norwood OvalGeelong 122, West Coast 76Geelong
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 10 tips Geelong fixture West Coast fixture