afl-tips.com

Gold Coast vs Carlton Tips

Round 10 2027, Sun 23 May, 6:10pm AEST at Marrara Oval: we tip Carlton by 7 with a 58% win chance.

Our tip
Carltonby 7 points
Win chance
58%Gold Coast 42.2%, Carlton 57.8%
Predicted score
84–91Gold Coast first
Models with us
3 of 52 tip Gold Coast

Every model on this game

GCSCAR

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Carlton57.8%6.5 pts
Elo Predicts!Gold Coast61.0%6.0 pts
s10Carlton51.1%1.2 pts
SquiggleCarlton51.4%1.2 pts
StattractionCarlton59.0%7.9 pts
Wheelo RatingsGold Coast56.7%5.5 pts
Squiggle aggregateGold Coast51.8%0.6 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Carlton

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Gold Coast rate −1.8 overall (12th) and Carlton +5.4 (7th), which leaves Carlton 7 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Gold Coast+0.5−2.4−1.8LLWLW
Carlton+2.2+3.1+5.4WDWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
20no draws
Gold Coast wins
8
Carlton wins
12
Average margin
26.5points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 19People First StadiumGold Coast 44, Carlton 79Carlton
2019Round 4People First StadiumGold Coast 59, Carlton 57Gold Coast
2019Round 18Marvel StadiumCarlton 99, Gold Coast 75Carlton
2020Round 13Marrara OvalGold Coast 27, Carlton 60Carlton
2021Round 4People First StadiumGold Coast 59, Carlton 70Carlton
2021Round 21Marvel StadiumCarlton 57, Gold Coast 76Gold Coast
2022Round 4People First StadiumGold Coast 92, Carlton 62Gold Coast
2023Round 14MCGCarlton 120, Gold Coast 61Carlton
2023Round 23People First StadiumGold Coast 87, Carlton 91Carlton
2024Round 11Marvel StadiumCarlton 102, Gold Coast 73Carlton
2025Round 22Marvel StadiumCarlton 74, Gold Coast 93Gold Coast
2026Round 20Marvel StadiumCarlton 110, Gold Coast 97Carlton
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 10 tips Gold Coast fixture Carlton fixture