afl-tips.com

Gold Coast vs Fremantle Tips

Round 21 2027, Mon 2 Aug, 12:00pm AEST at People First Stadium: we tip Fremantle by 5 with a 56% win chance.

Our tip
Fremantleby 5 points
Win chance
56%Gold Coast 44.1%, Fremantle 55.9%
Predicted score
85–90Gold Coast first
Models with us
3 of 52 tip Gold Coast

Every model on this game

GCSFRE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Fremantle55.9%4.9 pts
Elo Predicts!Gold Coast63.5%1.0 pts
s10Fremantle59.4%8.7 pts
SquiggleFremantle58.5%7.2 pts
StattractionFremantle69.4%17.9 pts
Wheelo RatingsGold Coast50.6%0.5 pts
Squiggle aggregateFremantle53.4%5.9 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Fremantle

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Gold Coast rate −1.8 overall (12th) and Fremantle +12.8 (4th), which leaves Fremantle 5 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Gold Coast+0.5−2.4−1.8LLWLW
Fremantle+5.7+7.1+12.8LLWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
17no draws
Gold Coast wins
6
Fremantle wins
11
Average margin
22.4points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2016Round 18People First StadiumGold Coast 105, Fremantle 81Gold Coast
2017Round 20SubiacoFremantle 90, Gold Coast 67Fremantle
2018Round 3Optus StadiumGold Coast 68, Fremantle 96Fremantle
2019Round 2People First StadiumGold Coast 61, Fremantle 58Gold Coast
2020Round 4People First StadiumGold Coast 64, Fremantle 51Gold Coast
2021Round 13Optus StadiumFremantle 76, Gold Coast 49Fremantle
2022Round 9People First StadiumGold Coast 69, Fremantle 33Gold Coast
2023Round 5Norwood OvalFremantle 100, Gold Coast 90Fremantle
2024Round 15Optus StadiumFremantle 85, Gold Coast 65Fremantle
2025Round 12People First StadiumGold Coast 64, Fremantle 75Fremantle
2025Finals Week 1Optus StadiumFremantle 79, Gold Coast 80Gold Coast
2026Round 16Optus StadiumFremantle 80, Gold Coast 29Fremantle
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 21 tips Gold Coast fixture Fremantle fixture